1. The future of housing in greater Washington
Chuck Bean
COG Executive Director
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

2. Dynamic, Growing Region
Population (COG footprint): 5.6M
Jobs (COG footprint): 3.3M
Approx. 325,000 commuters from outside the region come to work inside our region.
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

3. Job Growth Outpacing Housing Growth
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

4. Recent Trends in Housing Permits
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

5. Housing: Forecast + Additional Needed
690
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

6. Key Questions – the 3 “A”s
Amount:
Can the region accommodate an additional 100,000 homes above what is currently forecast by 2045?
Accessibility:
Can the additional homes be located in Activity Centers and near High Capacity Transit areas? Affordability:
What is the right mix of housing types and prices to accommodate our current and future workers?
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

7. 2015 to 2045 Round 9.1 Household Growth
by TAZ-Based Activity Center and Half-Mile High-Capacity Transit Station Areas
Shared Vision for Growth
Frederick County
141 Activity Centers (green)
88 with High Capacity Transit Hubs (purple)
9% Land Area
Montgomery County
Loudoun County
District of Columbia
Arlington
Alexandria
Fairfax County
Prince
George’s
County
Prince
William
County
Charles
County 7

8. Round 9.1 Cooperative Forecasts:
2015 to 2045 Growth in Activity Centers
Inside Activity Centers
Outside Activity Centers
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

9. MIDDLE COST BANDS ~100,000 units
Exploring Affordability
HIGH COST BANDS ~100,000 units
MIDDLE COST BANDS ~100,000 units
365,000 more units by 2030.
LOW COST BANDS ~100,000 units
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

10. Exploring a Range of Housing Types
Daniel Parolek, Opticos Design, Inc.
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

11. Constellation of Housing Efforts
NARC Annual Conference
June 10, 2019

12. mwcog.org Chuck Bean COG Executive Director cbean@mwcog.org
777 North Capitol Street NE, Suite 300
Washington, DC 20002