2. Institute for Economics & Peace4
Research for organisations like the OECD, Commonwealth Secretariat, World Bank and the United Nations.
A proven leader in the development of indices to measure peace, and is influencing traditional thinking on matters of security, defense and development.
IEP’s focus on Positive Peace extends the global discussion from violence containment to focus on building stronger and more peaceful societies.

3. IEP International Offices
SYDNEY
NEW YORK
BRUSSELS
THE HAGUE
MEXICO CITY
HARARE
Australia
USA
Belgium
The Netherlands
Mexico
Zimbabwe

4. IEP’s Research Negative peace: measuring the absence of violence
The economic value of peace
Risk of breakdowns in peacefulness
Positive peace: understanding the drivers of peace
Bespoke consulting deliverables

5. IEP’s Research
March
April
June
November
December

6. IEP’s tools: varying levels of viability
Small data
Sentiment analysis
Big data
Online tools
Data visualization
Dashboards
Text mining
MOOCs
Machine learning
And of course, a lot of code

7. Interactive map: www.visionofhumanity.org

8. The Global Peace Index Now in its thirteenth year Ranks 163 countries
According to their relative states of peace
Using 23 indicators weighed on a 1-5 scale
Developed by the Institute of Economics and Peace
Guided and overseen by a panel of International Experts

9. Global Peace Index Indicators
6 measures of ongoing domestic and international conflict
Including: intensity of organized internal conflicts, relations with neighbouring countries and number of deaths from conflict
10 measures of societal safety and security
Including: number of refugees and IDPs, impact of terrorism, homicide and incarceration rates
7 measures of militarisation
Including: military expenditure, number of armed service personnel, ease of access to small weapons

10. 2019 highlights
The average level of country peacefilness has improved by 0.09% from last year. This was the first improvement in the last five years.
86 countries became more peaceful, 76 deteriorated
Deteriorations primarily driven by changes in:
Perceptions of Criminality
Internal and External Conflicts Fought
Incarceration
Improvements were driven by changes in:
Deaths from Internal Conflict
Military Expenditure

11. other economic activities
The global cost of violence, 2019
Deaths from conflict and terrorism peaked in 2014.
$14.1
TRILLION
Which is equivalent to
11.2%
of total world GDP OR
$1853
per person
If the world decreased
violence by 10%...
$1.48 TRILLION
Could be directed to
other economic activities
*This is a highly conservative estimate.

12. 2019 highlights Iceland is, again, the most peaceful country
Ukraine and Sudan had the largest improvement
Russia and Eurasia had the largest regional improvement
Europe remains the most peaceful region, improving for the first time since 2014, despite ongoing political instability
Afghanistan is now the world’s least peaceful nation, followed by Syria
Nicaragua and Burkina Faso had the largest deteriorations
Central America and North America had the largest regional deteriorations

13. 10 most peaceful countries
ICELAND
Rank change: ↔ 6
CANADA
Rank change: ↔ 1 2
NEW ZEALAND
Rank change:↔ 7
SINGAPORE
Rank change: ↑2
PORTUGAL
Rank change: ↑2 3
SLOVENIA
Rank change: ↑2 8
AUSTRIA
Rank change: ↓1 4
JAPAN
Rank change: ↓1 9
DENMARK
Rank change: ↓1 5
CZECH REPUBLIC
Rank change: ↓3 10

14. 10 Least Peaceful Countries
SOMALIA
Rank change: ↑1
163
AFGHANISTAN
Rank change: ↓1
157
158
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
Rank change: : ↓1
162
SYRIA
Rank change: ↑1
156
161
SOUTH SUDAN
Rank change: ↔
LIBYA
Rank change: ↑1
155
160
YEMEN
Rank change: ↓2
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
Rank change: ↔
159
IRAQ
Rank change: ↑1
154
RUSSIA
Rank change: ↓1

15. 5 most improved countries
Rose 2 places
Rose 3 places
Rose 7 places
Rose 23 places
Rose 24 places

16. 5 largest deteriorations in peacefulness
Fell 54 places
Fell 26 places
Fell 10 places
Fell 6 places
Fell 9 places

17. TRENDS in PEACE

18. 81 81 3.28% Changes in peace, 2008-2019 PEACE DECLINED
OVER THE LAST DECADE 81 81
Countries became more peaceful
Countries became less peaceful

19. Peace in the last decade
Peacefulness has declined year on year for eight of the last eleven years.

20. The inequality of peacefulness
The 25 least peaceful countries deteriorated by an average of 11.8%, while the most peaceful improved by 1.7%.

21. Peace in the last decade
Militarisation was the only domain to record an improvement in average peacefulness

22. Deaths from conflict and terrorism
Deaths from conflict and terrorism peaked in 2014.
NUMBER OF DEATHS
NUMBER OF DEATHS

23. Climate change and peace
An estimated 971 million people live in areas with high or very high climate change exposure. Of this number, 400 million (41%) reside in countries with already low levels of peacefulness.
Climate change can indirectly increase the likelihood of violent conflict through its impact on resource availability, livelihood security and migration.
Countries with high levels of Positive Peace are better able to manage climate-induced shocks and tend to have higher environmental performance than those with lower levels of Positive Peace

24. Climate change and peace
Over 40 countries have both low levels of peace and high levels of climate risk.

25. Climate change and Positive Peace
Countries with low levels of Positive Peace have lower levels of cooperation, lower environmental performance, and suffer more casualities from natural disasters.

26. POSITIVE PEACE

27. Defining and measuring peace

28. Defining and measuring peace
NEGATIVE PEACE
Measures:
Crime
Suppression
Military
Armed conflict
POSITIVE PEACE
Derived through statistical analysis of datasets, indices and attitudes with the GPI
GLOBAL PEACE
INDEX
POSITIVE PEACE INDEX

29. Positive Peace Higher per capita income Resilience
Positive Peace creates the optimum environment for human potential to flourish.
High levels of Positive Peace are associated with:
Higher per capita income
Resilience
Better environmental outcomes
Higher GDP growth per annum
Better performance on MDGs

30. Positive Peace Surplus Positive Peace Deficit
Positive and Negative Peace
Countries with a Positive Peace deficit are more likely to fall into conflict and deteriorate on the GPI.
NEGATIVE PEACE
POSITIVE PEACE
High
Low
Positive Peace Surplus
Violence Trap
Sustainable Peace
Positive Peace Deficit

31. Positive Peace and the GPI domains
Positive Peace has a strong relationship with Safety and Security and Ongoing Conflict.

32. Peace metrics in practice
POSITIVE PEACE
Framework
Analysis
Metrics
Findings
State rankings
Economic impact
Key findings
300+ Youth trained
Community level projects
Local governments engaged
High-level briefings
National conversation
POSITIVE PEACE WORKSHOP

33. Connect with us visionofhumanity.org @GlobPeaceIndex @GlobalPeaceIndex
Explore peace indexes, peace research
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