1. Stability and political order: Pathways to political developments after 1989
Karin Hilmer Pedersen, Ph.D. (presenting) &
Lars Johannsen, Ph.D.
Associated professors at the Department of
Political Science
Aarhus University, Denmark
Presentation 13th November 2009;
“20 years since the fall of the Berlin Wall – was Communism in Central and Eastern
Europe merely a parenthesis?”
The E.ON Ruhr gas Scholarship program in Political science and
Norwegian Institute of Foreign Affairs and Department of Political Science,
University of Oslo

2. A quadruple transition, the international context and the present outcome
TRANSITION AREA
POLITICAL ORDER
1: Political 2: Economic 3: Nation-building 4: State-building (governance capacity) 5: The international context
STABILITY

3. Stability: Combining two dimensions
INCLUSION versus EXCLUSION A maximalist approach to inclusiveness CONSENSUS versus CONFLICT The core values of society

4. CASE SELECTION: a post-communist microcosm
Integrated in the Soviet Union Kazakhstan (part of Russia prior I WW) Georgia (part of USSR, 1921) Estonia (occupied, 1940) Under Soviet political and economic regime Poland The Czech Republic The Yugoslav variant Slovenia

5. Combining consensus and inclusion

6. CONCLUDING
1: STABILIZATION = DEGREE OF INCLUSION IN SOCIETY AND CONCENSUS OVER VALUES 2: CHOICES versus TRADITIONS AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC STRUCTURE Agency matters but underpinned by historical and socio-economic contexts and through the interrelated transitions