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MPU September 2009 2009.09.03.

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Presentation on theme: "MPU September 2009 2009.09.03."— Presentation transcript:

1 MPU September

2 Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages
Source: The Riksbank

3 Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change
Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

4 Figure 3. GDP with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data
Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

5 Figure 4. GDP Quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

6 Figure 5. Unemployed Percentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, years. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

7 Figure 6. Labour force and number of employed Thousands, seasonally-adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

8 Figure 7. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energy Annual percentage change
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

9 Figure 8. Real repo rate Per cent, quarterly averages
Note. The real repo rate is calculated as an average of the Riksbank’s repo rate forecasts for the coming year minus the inflation forecast (CPIF) for the corresponding period. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Source: The Riksbank

10 Figure 9. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Source: The Riksbank

11 Figure 10. Oil price, Brent crude USD per barrel
Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

12 Figure 11. Development of GDP in different regions and countries Quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

13 Figure 12. Estimated gaps Percentage deviation from the HP trend
Note. These gaps should not necessarily be interpreted as the Riksbank's overall assesment of resource utilisation. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


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