1. Real GDP Growth Rate (Annualized Percent), 1980-
Yellow = “typical” (non-recession or recovery) prior to Great Recession
Red = post-GR

2. Trends in College Pricing 2017, College Board

3. Total Fertility Rate per 1000 Women, 2016
And there is truth in these conversations...
Fertility is down almost 13% since start of Great Recession.
Level since. Evidence that these were just delayed births.
Note how few states (8) hit replacement rate—all west of Mississippi.
Aside:
TFR drop ~1/2 that of the 1970s birth dearth. But:
The 70s followed post-WWII boom. Take that pit and the two are similar
FLFP & economic changes like skill-biased tech change n mid-20th c. explain the drop at that time in some happier ways
Source: National Vital Statistics Reports Vol. 67, no. 1

4. Forecasted growth in students who will attend a regional four-year institution, 2012 to 2029 
A bit worse than population
Diversity increasing (Hispanic, not AFAM)

5. Forecasted growth in students who will attend a national four-year institution, 2012 to 2029 
Diversity increasing (His, Asian)

6. Forecasted growth in students who will attend a elite four-year institution, 2012 to 2029 
Diversity increasing (Asian)

7. Tensions and Opportunities for Inclusive Excellence
Inclusive excellence can increase discount rates
Inclusive excellence can expand your pool & buoy demand
Inclusive excellence—through attention to mission—can raise retention and decrease enrollment pressures
Retention work -> attention to UR subgroups

8. Others are walking away from Lib Arts