1. Back-of-envelope balancing reserve adequacy check for draft 6th Plan Portfolio
Base on maximum operating wind capacity at end of planning period
Existing wind capacity (Operating + Under construction)
Maximum buildout of wind in draft portfolio
Estimate balancing reserve requirement
Estimated growth in incremental balancing reserve requirement (MW rapid-response capacity/MW wind as percent of load)
BPA needs assessment
Extend to region
Adjust down by estimated impact of improved forecasting.
Estimate supply of rapid-response capacity
Assume BPA capability is representative for large hydro
+ allowance for non-federal large hydro
+ allowance for RR capability of existing thermal units (CC, GT, Coal?? - PGE work)
+ allowance for RR capability of new thermal units in portfolio at max wind buildout.

2. Issues So simple as to be worse than nothing?
If so, is there a better approach (Nothing not an option)
How should we view California acquisitions (larger issue)