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CRGAQS: CAMx PSAT Results

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Presentation on theme: "CRGAQS: CAMx PSAT Results"— Presentation transcript:

1 CRGAQS: CAMx PSAT Results
Presentation to the Gorge Study Technical Team By ENVIRON International Corporation January 10, 2007

2 Today’s Presentation Recap recommendations from last call
Describe latest CAMx simulation Use of PSAT on the August 2004 Base Year scenario Next Steps

3 Recap Recommendations from last call: Focus on August episode
Run 2018 Case Run PSAT for 2004 Run 5 “What-if” scenarios for 2018 Use model trends in relative sense to scale IMPROVE observations Relegate November episode Revisit with possible follow-on funding?

4 PM Source Apportionment Technology
What is PSAT? Emissions of PM and gas precursors are stratified by source category and by source region Tracers are used to tag emissions from each category-region pair and to track their transport, chemical evolution, and fate

5 PM Source Apportionment Technology
Tracers are run for species groups: Sulfur (SO2 and PSO4) Nitrogen (NOx, NOy, nitric acid, ammonia, PNO3, and PNH4) Organics (VOC, condensable hydrocarbon products, and SOA components) Primary PM (carbonaceous, fine/coarse dust, and fine/coarse other PM)

6 PSAT for August 2004 Base Case
Quantify source attribution at Mt Zion and Wishram 12 source categories by 6 source regions 10 source categories + IC + BC Region 6 handles all emissions outside the 4-km grid Sulfur, nitrogen, and primary PM groups Organics: let core model report biogenic vs. anthropogenic apportionment

7 PSAT for August 2004 Base Case

8 PSAT for August 2004 Base Case
Source categories: On-road mobile sources Non-road mobile sources Ammonia sources Other area sources Electric generating units (EGU) Pulp mills Wildfires Other fires Other point sources All emissions outside the 4-km grid

9 PSAT for August 2004 Base Case
6x10 category/region matrix + IC/BC = 62 unique tracers Sulfur (2 species), Nitrogen (7 species), primary PM (6 species) for each tracer Total = 930 total tracers in PSAT To “fit” the model into memory: Run only the 4- and 12-km grids 36-km grid results used to extract 12-km BC’s 10-day spin-up was not run for PSAT 12-km 3-D concentration fields on August 10 used as IC’s

10 PSAT for August 2004 Base Case
PSAT results were post-processed for two monitoring sites along the Columbia River: Mt Zion, and Wishram Report results for the episode-average source apportionment (August 10-22) Tables presented for “top” ranked emission category-region pairings Represent 90%+ mass concentrations for each species

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31 Next Steps Continue with 2018 Future Year scenario
August 2004 episode only Continue with 5 “what-if” scenarios Determine visibility trend lines Document in project report


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