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Model-based projections of ZIKV epidemic potential in Asia.

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Presentation on theme: "Model-based projections of ZIKV epidemic potential in Asia."— Presentation transcript:

1 Model-based projections of ZIKV epidemic potential in Asia.
Model-based projections of ZIKV epidemic potential in Asia. (A) Median projections of first-wave ZIKV infection attack rates at 5 km x 5 km resolution across Bangladesh, Brunei, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Timor-Leste, Thailand, and Vietnam, using the approach by Perkins et al.16 These projected infection attack rates were combined with spatial demographic data19 to project (D) expected numbers of infections for men and women of all ages and then (B, C) summed nationally. These location-specific projections are shown in greater detail for (E) western Java, (F) southern Vietnam, (G) Bangladesh, and (H) Singapore and Kuala Lumpur. Tables indicate median values and the total range of values from 1,000 Monte Carlo samples that reflect uncertainty in model parameters. Amir S Siraj, and T Alex Perkins BMJ Glob Health 2017;2:e000309 © Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

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