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Published byΘήρων Βαρνακιώτης Modified over 5 years ago
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Comments on Haimowitz, “Has the Surge in Computer Spending Fundamentally Changed the Economy?”
Spending for computers has increased both in absolute terms and as a percent of GDP. Average growth per year of the computer sector was 26 percent; compared to annual GDP growth of 2.6 percent. Some economists and technology industry boosters claim that the spending for computers is a highly important factor in explaining robust growth and moderate inflation in the U.S. since 1982. Does this argument hold water?
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Real Computer Spending as a Share in the Major GDP Categories
Source: Haimowitz (1998, p. 31).
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Haimowitz’s method Growth rate of the real capital stock of computing equipment Contribution of Computer Equipment to Growth Income share of computing equipment = Where, Income share of computing is the change in in real output (real income) resulting from an incremental change in the stock of computer equipment, ceteris paribus.
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Contribution of Computing Equipment to Nonfarm Output
Source: Haimowitz (1998, p. 34)
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In other words, Haimowitz estimates that about 10 1/2 percent of the growth of real output in the U.S. between can be explained by increases in spending for computers and software
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