1. Testing seasonal adjustment with Demetra+
Abdrakhmanova H.S
NSC, Kyrgyzstan

2. Check of the original time series
Original time series are:
Accurate
Long, from the year 1998 (2005=100)
Of good quality and correspond to the international standard
Consecutive

3. Graphs
Periodogram
Auto-regressive spectrum

4. Growthchart

5. Сhart

6. Choise of the approach and predictors
Approach Tramo/Seats
We chose specific national holidays
Automatically was chosen specification RSA5

7. Graphs of the results

8. Presence of seasonality

9. Original series

12. Residual seasonal factor

14. Main diagnostic of quality
summary Good
basic checks definition: Good (0,000) annual totals: Uncertain (0,022)
visual spectral analysis spectral seas peaks: Good spectral td peaks: Good
regarima residuals normality: Good (0,433) independence: Good (1,000) spectral td peaks: Good (0,505) spectral seas peaks: Uncertain (0,012)
residual seasonality on sa: Good (0,943) on sa (last 3 years): Good (0,891) on irregular: Good (0,916)
outliers number of outliers: Uncertain (0,032)
seats seas variance: Good (0,883) irregular variance: Good (0,577) seas/irr cross-correlation: Good (0,739)

15. Arima