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ANALYZING TUMOR GROWTH
The Gompertz Model
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The Gompertz Function Special case of the generalized logistic function Asymmetrical: right-hand asymptote is approached more slowly than left Originally created to describe human mortality Common model to predict growth of cancerous tumors
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F(t)=ae-be The General Equation -ct b, c are positive numbers
a: asymptote b: displacement along the x- axis (translates the graph to the left or right) c: growth rate
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The Recursive Formula In S(t + r)= a+b*InS(t)
Recursive formula + linear regression analysis gets the most accurate fit for breast, lung cancer S(t+r): remaining population r : the constant age increment between two consecutive measurements b: initial growth rate, 0<b<1 a: survival fraction after one iteration
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Standard Tumor Growth
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Significance Able to find carrying capacity and key turning points
Optimize treatment Varying constants allows model to work across many types of tumors Cyan: uninhibited growth Magenta: early stage treatment Black: medium stage treatment Yellow: late stage treatment
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References Bassukas, Ioannis D. “Use of the Recursion Formula of the Gompertz Survival Function to Evaluate Life-Table Data.” Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, vol. 89, no. 3, 24 July 1996, pp. 155–163., doi: / (96) Benzekry, Sébastien, et al. “Classical Mathematical Models for Description and Prediction of Experimental Tumor Growth.” PLoS Computational Biology, vol. 10, no. 8, 2014, doi: /journal.pcbi Tjørve, Kathleen M. C., and Even Tjørve. “The Use of Gompertz Models in Growth Analyses, and New Gompertz-Model Approach: An Addition to the Unified-Richards Family.” Plos One, vol. 12, no. 6, 5 June 2017, doi: /journal.pone
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