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DEVELOPMENT OF UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIRS IN PAKISTAN By Dr. M
DEVELOPMENT OF UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIRS IN PAKISTAN By Dr. M. Saeed Khan Jadoon OGDCL, Islamabad APRIL 11, 2011 SERENA HOTEL ISLAMABAD
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PROVOKING THOUHHTS With the nuclear industry in crisis and oil prices on the rise, could the solution to our energy problems be in the ground at home? Daniel yergin on the promise of shale gas. He ," states that the turmoil in the middle east is a "sea change" for the global oil market and that the U.S.A and emerging markets are most economically vulnerable to rising oil prices.
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Outline of Presentation
Objectives Energy out Look Existing Indigenous Resource International Scenario Conventional & Unconventional Reservoirs Potential of Unconventional Resource Development Model Economic Consideration Summary
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UNCONVENTIONAL ENERGY RESOURCE AVAILABILITY
OBJECTIVES HOW TO MEET ENERGY REQUIREMENT OF THE COUNTRY UNCONVENTIONAL ENERGY RESOURCE AVAILABILITY DEVELOPMENT PHIL0SPHY
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Pakistan Energy Out Look
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Pakistan Gas Out Look
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Energy Resources Available To Us
Indigenous Resources of Oil & Gas Hydroelectric Nuclear Solar & Wind Energy
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Primary Energy Supplies By Source
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Pakistan Indigenous Natural Reserves
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Sectoral Energy Consumption By Source
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INTERNATIONAL SCENARIO
FOR UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIR
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World Un-Conventional Gas Resource
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WORLD UN-CONVENTIONAL GAS
40-50 TCF Pakistan
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European Unconventional Reservoir
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India Shale Gas & CBM Projects
Started work on CBM 1993 Group of experts was formulated to collect and analyze data. 32 BLOCKS Have been given to different companies Now India started Production from CBM Next Few Years, Production will be 38 CM^3/day ONGC had Recent Discovery of Shale Gas in West Bengal
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Shale Gas Contribution in USA, 18 % of the Total Production
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Advance Resources International USA Gas Projected values from different Sources, 2009
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INDIGNEOUS HYDROCARBON RESOURCES
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Indigenous Oil & Gas Reservoirs
Unconventional Reservoirs Poor reservoir properties have capability of storage but poor Productivity Tight Gas Reservoir Shale Gas Reservoir Coal Bed Methane NOT DEVELOPED YET Conventional Reservoirs Sandstone and carbonate Reservoirs. With good reservoir properties have good capability of storage and Productivity Reasonable Efforts for Exploration Explored area is about 275,000 Sq km 550,000 Sq km is unexplored Current Production Oil: bbl Gas: 4.15 BCF
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Unconventional Reservoir Descriptions
Tight Gas Reservoir Mostly Sandstone Reservoir Good storage Capability but poor Producibility. Distributed over Large Area of Pakistan Advance Technology Need to Produce Shale Gas reservoir Exist in Shale Source and Reservoir Good storage Capability but poor Producibility Distributed over Large Area of Pakistan Advance Technology need to Produce
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Unconventional Reservoirs
COAL BED METHAN (CBM) Gas is generated during Coalification Process Gas Adsorbed on the Coal Very poor conductivity Distributed over Sindh & Punjab Province Word 10 % Coal Deposits are in Sindh Total Deposits are 185 billion tone. Not developed Yet No Conclusive Work
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Known Tight Gas Reservoirs
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Shale Sequence in Pakistan
Ghazij Shale Thickness (meters) Vastly Distributed Thalar Shale Vastly Distributed – – 184 Samber Shale Vastly Distributed – Chichali Sahle Vastly Distributed – – 130
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Ghazij Shale Distribution
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Talhar Shale
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Chichali Area Ghazij Area Talhar Area
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Coal Fields in Pakistan
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Gas Potential in these Reservoirs
Source: Weatherford 2010
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Unconventional Gas Resource
Tight Gas TCF Ghazig Shale Gas TCF Talhar Shale Gas TCF Coal Bed Methane TCF (Recoverable- Cathy Oil Canada) Samber Shale (Moin PPL) TCF TOTAL
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Development Challenges
Evaluation Uncertainties High Investment Longer Production Time Longer Payout Time High Density of wells Skilled Manpower Environmental Issue Political Stability Will to Accept Challenges Resolvable Success
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Availability of Technology In World
Vertical & Horizontal well Multilateral Wells Hydraulic Fracturing Stimulation Techniques
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Multilateral Wells
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DEVELOPMENT PHILOSPHY
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Development Model-Integrated Approach
GOVT Distribution Companies Manufacturing Industries Power Producer Exploration Companies
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Exploration & Production Companies
Should Invest to Explore Tight and Shale gas Exploration area for Tight and Shale Gas should be awarded to the companies Price Incentives have been given Freedom of Marketing of Gas to the Consumer
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Manufacturing & Power Industries
Should have direct access to Energy Producer Should have option of buying gas from Producer & paying Tariff to the distribution company for using the network if required Reference Price should be according to the concession area Distribution Companies should effectively assist for supply of gas to Industries Consortium of Industry units to share the cost of energy.
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Cost Effective Buisness Model
Exploration Companies- Consortium Work Program for next 3-4 years Drilling of Vertical, horizontal & Multilateral Hydraulic Fracturing/Stimulation jobs Service Providers-Consortium Bring Relevant Technology Efficient Execution of jobs Cost effective Solution Human Resource Development---Serious Consideration
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Continue---- Need consortium of industry units for sharing of their cost of energy No Misuse of Freedom No Monopolization of any company weather it is service or distribution companies.
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ECONOMIC EVALUATION
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Production Challenge Reference: Weatherford 2010
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Probable Production Behavior
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Economic Model for Tight & Shale Gas (Brown Field )
GIIP: 1 TCF Recoverable Reserves: BCF Number of wells: Failure: 10% Gas Flow Rate: MMSCFD Development Time: 2 year Well Capex $: Million Facilities: Million Opex: Million Field Life: 25 year GAS Price: $ 4.90/MMBTU IROR: % Pay back: year Royalty &Tex Included
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Economic Model for Tight & Shale Gas (Green Field )
GIIP: 1 TCF Recoverable Reserves: BCF Number of wells: Failure: % Gas Flow Rate: MMSCFD Development Time: 5 year Well Capex $: Million Facilities: Million Opex: Million Field Life: 25 year GAS Price: $ 6.21/MMBTU IROR: % Pay back: years
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SUMMARY Enough unconventional Reservoir exist in the country
Unconventional Reservoirs are required to be evaluated by collection of more data by initiating Pilot Projects in Shale Gas as earliest as possible. Exploration blocks may be awarded for unconventional reservoirs. Economically, Projects in Shale & Tight Gas looks viable.
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Continue---- Human Resource Development to cater the demand of oil companies operating in Pkistan Introduction of consortium concept of E & P companies for the planning of their work Consortium of Service companies for cost effective solution of development of these Reservoirs. Integrated Approach of all the stack holder is required to develop these unconventional Reservoirs
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THANKS
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