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Price and Volume Measures
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Money and prices In the system of national accounts, all the flows and stocks are expressed in monetary units The monetary unit is the only common denominator which can be used to value the extremely diverse transactions In the system of accounts, there are different types of stocks and flows, for example: Transactions in products (P) Distributive transactions (D) Financial transactions (F) Flows and stocks of the products have a special feature: their valuation is based on the concept of price.
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Different categories of prices
The system of accounts uses two categories of prices: Basic price for output Purchaser’s price for uses The basic price is the price receivable by the producer minus taxes on the product plus subsidies on the product, it excludes any transport charges invoiced separately by the producer. The purchaser’s price is the price the purchaser pays for the product. It includes taxes less subsidies on the products and transport charges paid separately by the purchaser.
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Valuation of transactions in products
Output is to be recorded and valued when it is generated by the production process Output of finished goods transferred into the producer’s inventories is valued as if they were sold at that time The important point here is that the output is not valued at the prices at which goods and services are actually sold but the prices which are current at the time they are produced For services, there is no problem because they are sold as they are products For goods, there may be a significant difference between the selling price and the price is valued production
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Quantity The production of a good therefore can not be measured by actual monetary flows, but valuing the quantities produced to the base price Value, price and quantity are linked by the fundamental equation: This equation is very simple but it is valid only for homogeneous products
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Homogeneous products (1)
Homogeneous products are products for which it is possible to define units which are all considered equivalent and which can thus be exchanged for the same monetary value It is thus possible to define the price of a homogeneous product as the amount of money for which each product unit can be exchanged A homogeneous product consists of units of the same quality To Value the production of a good, it is necessary to find equivalent goods are actually sold at the time it is produced, this is only possible for homogeneous goods
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Homogeneous products (2)
In practice, two units of a product with identical physical characteristics may be sold at different prices for two types of reasons: They are sold in different places, at different periods or according to different conditions. In this case the units have to be corresponding to different homogeneous products. They are sold at different prices due to lack of information, or to restrictions brought to purchase freedom, or to the existence of parallel markets. In this case, the units have to regarded as belonging to the same homogeneous product. A homogeneous product can thus also be defined as a product of which all units would be sold at the same price in perfect competition
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Quality In national accounts the concept of quality does not refer to a hierarchy of products, it refers to the characteristics of a product We cannot say that a product is better than another, we only say that products are of same quality or of different quality depending on whether they correspond to the same homogeneous product Differences in quality are reflected in the following factors: Physical characteristics; Deliveries in different locations; Deliveries at different times; Differences in conditions, circumstances, environment of sale
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Volume The problem when using the monetary unit is that unit is neither a stable nor an international standard A major concern in economic analysis is to measure economic growth in volume terms between different periods It is then necessary to distinguish, in the value changes for certain aggregates like GDP, the changes arising solely from price changes from the reminder which is called the change in ‘volume’ The notion of volume appears as an extended use of the notion of quantity for groups of products
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Volume and constant prices
For a given homogeneous product the equation v =p x q allows the change of value over time to broken down into change of price and change of quantity At an aggregated level, this equation is no longer useful since it is not possible to aggregate quantities of different products There is however a simple way of breaking down the change in value of a set of products between two periods The effect of change in price can be offset by calculating what the value of the set of products would have been if there had been no changes in prices
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Comparing base and current periods
The value of a set of products in the current period is: Where exponent 1 refers to the current period and index i to a specific product The volume can be defined as: The volume index is:
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Price index and volume index
It is possible to define a price index by analogy with the equation v = p x q Value index = price index x volume index Price index = value index / volume index In theory, the volume indices are Laspeyres indices and price indices are Paasche. In practice, however, national accountants have price indices calculated by statisticians and they deduce volume indices: Volume index = value index / price index
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Volume indices The Laspeyres philosophy
time periods 0 and t quantity (volume) relatives qt/q0 weights : share in total value of period 0 Laspeyres volume index (arithmetic mean of quantity relatives)
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Price indices The Laspeyres philosophy
time periods 0 and t price relatives pt/p0 weights of period 0 Laspeyres price index
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Chaining No fixed base year but moving base year: always use weights of previous year to calculate growth rates Chain year-on-year growth rates together to obtain “constant price” data Commission Decision requires chaining using Laspeyres method Non-additivity will occur in “constant price” series
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Chaining: example
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Base and reference period
Base period the period that provides the weights for the index Reference period the period for which the index has the value 100
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Price indices in practice
CPIs (HICP), PPIs: all Laspeyres price indices Define precise bundle of goods and services & obtain their value shares in base year (for weighting) Observe monthly prices, by going to shops, magazines, internet, etc. Calculate index
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New products (1) The method of calculating price and volume indices assumes that the products exist in both successive years However, many products appear and disappear from one year to the next There is no difficulty in the case of products which existed in the previous year but which no longer exist in the current year The problem appears in the case of new products, since for the previous year it is not possible to measure the price of a product which does not exist
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New products (2) There are to types of approaches for estimating the price of the previous year: The first supposes that the price of the new product changes like the price of similar products The second attempts to calculate directly what the price of the new product would have been if it had existed in the base period The first approach amounts simply to using a price index calculated on the basis of a sample of homogeneous products existing in both successive years Which the second approach, the methods which are more commonly used are the hedonic method and the input method
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Volume of value added Best method: double deflation
Alternative method: single deflation
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Non-market services (1)
Non-market services are not sold at a market price and their value at current prices is calculated as the sum of the costs incurred Those costs are: intermediate consumption, compensation of employees, other taxes less subsidies on production and consumption of fixed capital The unit cost of a non-market service can be considered as the equivalent of the price
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Non-market services (2)
In fact, the price of a market product corresponds to the expenditure which the purchaser must incur in order to take possession of it, while the unit cost of a non-market product corresponds to the expenditure which society must incur in order to use it Thus, where it is possible to define units of quantity for non-market services, it is also possible to apply the general principles for calculating volume and price indices But is generally not obvious to define units of quantity for non-market services
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Non-market services (3)
Difference between “individual” and “collective” services Collective services are services for collective consumption that are provided simultaneously to all members of the community or to all members of a particular section of the community , such as households living in a particular region. Examples: police, defense Services provided to households are described as individual services. They mainly consist of education and health services For individual services it is possible to define quantity units and to apply the general method for calculating price and volume indices
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Education Definition: education output is the amount of teaching received by the students for each type of education. The quantity of teaching received by students can be measured by the number of hours they spent at being taught (the number of 'student-hours' or 'pupil-hours'). Where this measure is not available, the simple number of students or pupils can be an alternative For some levels of education (for example tertiary education and distance-learning) the number of students may in fact be a better indicator of the education service delivered
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Health Health output is the quantity of health care received by patients, for each type of health care The quantities should be weighted together using data on the costs or prices of the health care provided. The quantity of health care received by patients should be measured in terms of complete treatments.
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Collective services For collective services it is impossible to define quantity units In this case, since the value of a non-market service is determined by the cost involved, it is thus possible to calculate the volume by the value of the costs at base period prices, that is by the value at base period prices of intermediate consumption, compensation of employees, other taxes net subsidies on production and consumption of fixed capital This method is known as the input method
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Thank you for your attention
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