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Decision-Making Analysis for Surveillance
Population at Risk: PSC Surveillance Strategy: Available Accessible Acceptable Early Detection: Treatment Improved Outcomes: Survival Cost Effectiveness
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PSC: Important CCA Risk Factor
26% 37% 37% Proportion of all CCAs (%) 1 10 Time since PSC Diagnosis (years) Leading source of mortality (1/3rd all deaths) 10-15% lifetime risk Annual incidence ~1-2% ↑ CCA: late onset PSC, longer IBD duration. ↓ CCA: small duct & pediatric patients (very rare) Weismuller TJ,. Gastroenterology 2017 Gulamhusein AF. Am J Gastroenterol 2016 Boonstra K, et al. Hepatology 2013 Eaton JE, J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017
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MRI/MRCP Imaging Modality of Choice for pCCA
Sensitivity Specificity Ultrasound 57% - CT scan 75% 79% PET Scan* 55% 33% MRI/MRCP 88% 85% Mass lesion with delayed venous enhancement nearly 100% specific for CCA Alkhawaldeh Clin Nucl Med 2011 Schramm, Eaton Hepatology 2017
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CP
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Diagnosis
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ROC for CA 19-9 in Identifying Cholangiocarcinoma in PSC
41 128 100 180 Chalasani et al: Hepatology 31:7-11, 2000 Sensitivity 200 CA 19-9>100 Sensitivity 75% Specificity 80% 1-specificity CP
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Causes of Elevated CA 19-9 in PSC Patients without Cholangiocarcinoma
Normalization after endoscopic treatment n=7 Extrahepatic malignancy n=1 Persistent Cholestasis n=5 Recurrent bacterial cholangitis n=6 Sinakos et al. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011
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Routine Cytology Normal Atypical Suspicious Positive
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Limitations of Conventional Cytology
Difficult to access and obtain specimens Cancers are highly desmoplastic Specimens are frequently paucicellular Diagnostic criteria are subjective Sensitivity for malignancy 10-40% Specificity ~100% - Still a Gold Standard
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FISH chrom 3= red, chrom 7= green, chrom 17= aqua, locus 9p21= gold
Normal Polysomy >5 cells 2 signals per color ≥ 2 signals in ≥ colors
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Conventional Cytology and FISH Polysomy: PSC-Associated Strictures
Sensitivity Specificity 100 100 % 47 18
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Unresectable, perihilar
Criteria for LTx Unresectable, perihilar Mass, radial diameter <3 cm, no cut off for longitudinal diameter If PSC, any ductal tumor <3 cm CP
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Treatment Protocol External beam radiation therapy Brachytherapy
Capecitabine Hand Assisted Laparoscopy Liver transplantation
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Recurrence-Free Survival: PSC vs. non-PSC
82% (76-88) 72% (63-81) 62% (48-76) Recurrence-free survival (%) 70% (58-82) 51% (37-65) 51% (37-65) Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) P=0.06 No PSC Years No. at risk Cumulative no. events PSC No PSC No. at risk Cumulative no. events Murad et al: Gastroenterology, 2012 ©2012 MFMER |
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Suspicious Cytology, FISH (-)
Indeterminate Stricture on MRI/MRCP ERCP with Biopsy + Cytology + FISH Cytology/Biopsy (+) Cytology/Biopsy (-) FISH (polysomy) Suspicious Cytology, FISH (-) Cytology/Biopsy, FISH All (-) CCA CA19-9 ≥ 129 U/mL CA19-9 <129 U/mL MRI/MRCP Surveillance How do we synthesize that information and apply it to our clinical practice. This illustrates a guidance algorithm Repeat ERCP Probable CCA Cytology (+) Cytology (-) FISH (polysomy) Cytology (-) FISH (-) Probable CCA MRI/MRCP surveillance
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CCA Surveillance in PSC
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