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Decision-Making Analysis for Surveillance

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Presentation on theme: "Decision-Making Analysis for Surveillance"— Presentation transcript:

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2 Decision-Making Analysis for Surveillance
Population at Risk: PSC Surveillance Strategy: Available Accessible Acceptable Early Detection: Treatment Improved Outcomes: Survival Cost Effectiveness

3 PSC: Important CCA Risk Factor
26% 37% 37% Proportion of all CCAs (%) 1 10 Time since PSC Diagnosis (years) Leading source of mortality (1/3rd all deaths) 10-15% lifetime risk Annual incidence ~1-2% ↑ CCA: late onset PSC, longer IBD duration. ↓ CCA: small duct & pediatric patients (very rare) Weismuller TJ,. Gastroenterology 2017 Gulamhusein AF. Am J Gastroenterol 2016 Boonstra K, et al. Hepatology 2013 Eaton JE, J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017

4 MRI/MRCP Imaging Modality of Choice for pCCA
Sensitivity Specificity Ultrasound 57% - CT scan 75% 79% PET Scan* 55% 33% MRI/MRCP 88% 85% Mass lesion with delayed venous enhancement nearly 100% specific for CCA Alkhawaldeh Clin Nucl Med 2011 Schramm, Eaton Hepatology 2017

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7 CP

8 Diagnosis

9 ROC for CA 19-9 in Identifying Cholangiocarcinoma in PSC
41 128 100 180 Chalasani et al: Hepatology 31:7-11, 2000 Sensitivity 200 CA 19-9>100 Sensitivity 75% Specificity 80% 1-specificity CP

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11 Causes of Elevated CA 19-9 in PSC Patients without Cholangiocarcinoma
Normalization after endoscopic treatment n=7 Extrahepatic malignancy n=1 Persistent Cholestasis n=5 Recurrent bacterial cholangitis n=6 Sinakos et al. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011

12 Routine Cytology Normal Atypical Suspicious Positive

13 Limitations of Conventional Cytology
Difficult to access and obtain specimens Cancers are highly desmoplastic Specimens are frequently paucicellular Diagnostic criteria are subjective Sensitivity for malignancy 10-40% Specificity ~100% - Still a Gold Standard

14 FISH chrom 3= red, chrom 7= green, chrom 17= aqua, locus 9p21= gold
Normal Polysomy >5 cells 2 signals per color ≥ 2 signals in ≥ colors

15 Conventional Cytology and FISH Polysomy: PSC-Associated Strictures
Sensitivity Specificity 100 100 % 47 18

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17 Unresectable, perihilar
Criteria for LTx Unresectable, perihilar Mass, radial diameter <3 cm, no cut off for longitudinal diameter If PSC, any ductal tumor <3 cm CP

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20 Treatment Protocol External beam radiation therapy Brachytherapy
Capecitabine Hand Assisted Laparoscopy Liver transplantation

21 Recurrence-Free Survival: PSC vs. non-PSC
82% (76-88) 72% (63-81) 62% (48-76) Recurrence-free survival (%) 70% (58-82) 51% (37-65) 51% (37-65) Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) P=0.06 No PSC Years No. at risk Cumulative no. events PSC No PSC No. at risk Cumulative no. events Murad et al: Gastroenterology, 2012 ©2012 MFMER |

22 Suspicious Cytology, FISH (-)
Indeterminate Stricture on MRI/MRCP ERCP with Biopsy + Cytology + FISH Cytology/Biopsy (+) Cytology/Biopsy (-) FISH (polysomy) Suspicious Cytology, FISH (-) Cytology/Biopsy, FISH All (-) CCA CA19-9 ≥ 129 U/mL CA19-9 <129 U/mL MRI/MRCP Surveillance How do we synthesize that information and apply it to our clinical practice. This illustrates a guidance algorithm Repeat ERCP Probable CCA Cytology (+) Cytology (-) FISH (polysomy) Cytology (-) FISH (-) Probable CCA MRI/MRCP surveillance

23 CCA Surveillance in PSC

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