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OLD AGE SECURITY REGIONAL OVERVIEW
Bangkok 05th July 2019
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Evolution in Fertility Rates
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Challenges - The fast pace of Ageing
ADB, 2017 OECD countries took years to go from young to old societies; Asian countries are taking just years Viet Nam will have 21 million pensionable age people by 2030 By 2100, Lao’s old age dependency ratio will rise six fold
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TODAY PAST
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32% of older persons do not receive a pension GLOBALLY
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45% of older persons do not receive a pension ASIA & PACIFIC
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68.5% of older persons do not receive a pension ASEAN
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67% of of older persons in Viet Nam depend on their family
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Half of older persons in Phillipines
face «some» or «considerable» difficulty in meeting expenses
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Public expenditure on old-age pensions and other benefits
Public social protection expenditure on pensions and other benefits, excluding health, for persons above statutory pensionable age (% of GDP), and share of older population 65 and above in total population (%) On average, of GDP is allocated to social protection for older persons Source: ILO, World Social Protection Report , mainly based on Social Security Inquiry Data on social protection expenditure for children in 139 countries show that, on average, 1.1 per cent of GDP is spent on child benefits Large regional disparities, from 0.1 per cent in North Africa and the Arab States to 2.5 per cent in Europe. Significant underinvestment in children
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ASEAN
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Closing the Gap Will not happen only through contributory schemes
Long period until everyone is covered (scheme mature) High prevalence of informal economy
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Social Protection in ASEAN Member States
Late starters Quickly catching up
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Fast developments Tax Funded Pensions
Countries with Universal Coverage Thailand and Brunei (+ Timor Leste) Countries with means-tested pensions Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia Countries with limited coverage but universal principles Myanmar, Viet Nam Countries with advanced discussions on universal coverage Malaysia, Viet Nam
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TAX FUNDED PENSIONS
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Be aware of the risks of delaying unpopular reforms
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Ensure Pensions Adequacy
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Indexation of Benefits
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NEED FOR INTEGRATED SOLUTIONS
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TAX FUNDED PENSIONS
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Be aware of the risks of delaying unpopular reforms
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Nuno Cunha – cunhan@ilo.org
Thank you Nuno Cunha –
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