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Progress in cancer survival, mortality, and incidence in seven high-income countries 1995–2014 (ICBP SURVMARK-2): a population-based study Melina Arnold, PhD, Mark J Rutherford, PhD, Aude Bardot, MSc, Jacques Ferlay, ME, Therese M-L Andersson, PhD, Tor Åge Myklebust, PhD, Hanna Tervonen, PhD, Vicky Thursfield, Grad Dip, David Ransom, MD, Lorraine Shack, PhD, Ryan R Woods, PhD, Donna Turner, PhD, Suzanne Leonfellner, BN, Susan Ryan, CTR, Nathalie Saint-Jacques, PhD, Prithwish De, PhD, Carol McClure, PhD, Agnihotram V Ramanakumar, PhD, Heather Stuart-Panko, CHIM, Gerda Engholm, MSc, Paul M Walsh, PhD, Christopher Jackson, FRACP, Sally Vernon, MMath, Eileen Morgan, PhD, Anna Gavin, FFPHM, Prof David S Morrison, MD, Dyfed W Huws, MSc, Geoff Porter, MD, John Butler, MRCOG, Heather Bryant, PhD, Prof David C Currow, PhD, Sara Hiom, BSc, D Max Parkin, DSc, Prof Peter Sasieni, PhD, Prof Paul C Lambert, PhD, Bjørn Møller, PhD, Isabelle Soerjomataram, PhD, Freddie Bray, PhD The Lancet Oncology DOI: /S (19) Copyright © 2019 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions
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Figure 1 Age-standardised 5-year net survival by site, country, and period of diagnosis, 1995–2014 Age-standardised net survival is for patients aged 15–99 years at diagnosis. Beginning of arrow denotes estimates for 1995–99 and arrow heads from left to right refer to 2000–04, 2005–09, and 2010–14 estimates. Australia includes New South Wales (1995–2012), Victoria, and Western Australia; Canada includes Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Ontario, Prince Edward Island, and Saskatchewan; Ireland (1995–2013); the UK includes its four constituent countries: England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland; all other countries with national data (1995–2014). The Lancet Oncology DOI: ( /S (19) ) Copyright © 2019 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions
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Figure 2 Changes in age-standardised 5-year net survival against changes in mortality and incidence, 2010–14 compared with 1995–99 Age-standardised net survival is for patients aged 15–99 years at diagnosis, and age-standardised incidence and mortality are for patients aged 25 years and older at diagnosis. Increases in survival paralleled by decreases in incidence and mortality are the optimum scenario and show true progress (green upper left quadrant). Other scenarios, such as increasing survival and decreasing mortality, accompanied by increasing incidence, point towards partial progress (red quadrants). Australia includes New South Wales (1995–2012), Victoria and Western Australia; Canada includes Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Ontario, and Saskatchewan; Ireland (1995–2013); the UK includes its four constituent countries: England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland; and all other countries with national data (1995–2014). Estimates for Prince Edward Island (Canada) are not shown because of large fluctuations in rates compared with the small number of cases. The Lancet Oncology DOI: ( /S (19) ) Copyright © 2019 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions
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Figure 2 Changes in age-standardised 5-year net survival against changes in mortality and incidence, 2010–14 compared with 1995–99 Age-standardised net survival is for patients aged 15–99 years at diagnosis, and age-standardised incidence and mortality are for patients aged 25 years and older at diagnosis. Increases in survival paralleled by decreases in incidence and mortality are the optimum scenario and show true progress (green upper left quadrant). Other scenarios, such as increasing survival and decreasing mortality, accompanied by increasing incidence, point towards partial progress (red quadrants). Australia includes New South Wales (1995–2012), Victoria and Western Australia; Canada includes Alberta, British Columbia, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Ontario, and Saskatchewan; Ireland (1995–2013); the UK includes its four constituent countries: England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland; and all other countries with national data (1995–2014). Estimates for Prince Edward Island (Canada) are not shown because of large fluctuations in rates compared with the small number of cases. The Lancet Oncology DOI: ( /S (19) ) Copyright © 2019 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions
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