1. Presentation available at scottlay.com Looking Ahead Joint Special Populations Advisory Committee December 5, 2012

2. Topics Looking Back Looking Ahead Discussion

3. 1910 Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses

4. 1917 Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to: mechanical and industrial arts household economy agriculture civic education and commerce.

5. 1921 Legislature authorizes creation of local districts Organized under K-12 laws locally-elected governing boards State Department of Education to monitor Creation of Junior College Fund Nations first state funding

6. 1960 formally recognized the three systems CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students

7. 1967 Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak Board of Governors created Bilateral governance 76 colleges, 610,000 students

8. 1970s - 1980s 1976 - Education Employment Relations Act 1978 - Proposition 13 1984 - first enrollment fee 1988 - AB 1725 1988 - Proposition 98 The Era of Change

9. 1990s-2000s 1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts. 1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth. 2001: Stock market collapse 2008: Real estate, banking collapse Time of significant change.

10. 1980 61% white CCC

11. 2012 69% non-white CCC

12. Shift Happens. Are we shifting accordingly?

13. Three Years of Change Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education. Significant reduction in recreational courses or lifelong learning. Limits on community college repeatability. Priority registration (forthcoming).

14. CCC Enrollment

15. K-12 Graduates Change

16. Proposition 30 Yes votes by age: 18-29: 69% 25-29: 61% 30-39: 53% 40-49: 47% 50-64: 48% 65+: 48% Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%

17. Budget Outlook

18. Proposition 98 3.4%-5.3% increase per year

19. Looking Ahead States outlook is moderately strong. K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009- 10. Students will choose employment over education. Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets. PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, deferred maintenance Low demand will give catch up time. Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.

20. Looking Ahead for CTE Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure low cost programs. High demand in high cost programs -- how to fund? Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.