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Financialisation of Real Estate Markets Prof Sunder Ram Korivi, PhD National Institute of Securities Markets (Est. by SEBI)
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Nature of Real Estate Real estate investments are lumpy Transaction processes and due diligence is of a higher order Investment horizon could be longer Exit could be as tedious as entry Transaction costs high and uncertain Valuation & Price Discovery – a black box
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Financialisation Credit Markets Take-out financing Securitization Other Credit Derivatives Shares/Bonds of RE companies/HFC Mutual, Hedge and Other Funds Moral Hazards
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Securitization: Six blind men and the elephant Less understood In India, mostly misunderstood In developed markets, mostly misused
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Securitization: Process Real Estate (Commodity market) Loan origination (Credit markets) Loan parceling (Capital markets) Loan Guarantee (Insurance markets)
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PODD Model of Real Estate Produce: Construction of property Originate: Loans from banks Distribute: Securitized Loan Paper Divest: Sale of Paper by Investor
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Moral Hazards: Classic case: Goldman Sachs Origination by Investment Banking Distribution by Broking Trading by Prop Trading Desk Insurance from Credit Enhancers Advice to Hedge Funds Bailout from Government Bonuses to employees – perverse incentives …a celebrated case of Wall Street greed and deceit
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Regulatory Framework Skin in the game Seasoning period Lending curbs on banks Covered bonds Capital Adequacy Stamp duty Diversity in various states
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Summary Financialisation is a double-edged sword Innovation could be corrupted by moral hazard problems Failures could lead to systemic disruption Leverage is commoditized Corporate Governance in the RE sector is a question mark Quantum and pace, a consideration
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Thank You
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