1. Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services (Macao, China, 8-13 April 2013) 1.Son-tinh (1223) 2.Kai-tak (1213)

2. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial

3. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

4. NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

5. NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

6. NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

7. NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

8. JMA Surface analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) TS SON-TINH (1223) 998 hPa 11.6N 125.8E NW 13KT MAX WINDS 35KT

9. JMA 850hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

10. JMA 500hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)

11. Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)  Determine the center position of 1.FT24 (18UTC, 25 Oct.) 2.FT48 (18UTC, 26 Oct.) 3.FT72 (18UTC, 27 Oct.)  Describe how to determine those centers.

12. Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223) TS SON-TINH (1223) 996 hPa 11.9N 122.3E WNW 14KT MAX WINDS 40KT Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.

13. Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones 1.Son-tinh (1223) 2.Kai-tak (1213)

14. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial

15. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

16. NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

17. NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

18. NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

19. NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

20. JMA Surface analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213) TS KAI-TAK (1213) 992 hPa 17.5N 126.5E WNW SLOWLY MAX WINDS 40KT

21. JMA 850hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

22. JMA 500hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

23. Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.  Determine the center position of 1.FT24 (06UTC, 15 AUg.) 2.FT48 (06UTC, 16 Oct.) 3.FT72 (06UTC, 17 Oct.)  Describe how to determine those centers. Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)

24. TS KAI-TAK (1213) 992 hPa 17.7N 125.2E WNW 07KT MAX WINDS 40KT Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.