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ANALYTICAL SCIENCES GROUP UPDATE FY2013 Randall Morin 2013 Northern FIA Regional Management Team Meeting Portland, ME Northern Research Station Forest Inventory and Analysis
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TOPICS State reporting Regional analyses National-scale projects P2+ NWOS FIA Symposium
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Continue to produce ~5 comprehensive reports and 24 annual reports each year. The format and content has been static for a while – change is coming: Good: FSRET asking for standardized FIA reporting; national annual template finished Better: Other possibilities – sub-regional or regional annual reports Best: Web-based interactive graphics; no written report; still generate tables via EVALIDator, etc. STATE REPORTING
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NEW TEMPLATEOLD TEMPLATE
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STATE REPORTING – INTERACTIVE GRAPHICS
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REGIONAL ANALYSIS - INVASIVES
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REGIONAL ANALYSIS – PEST IMPACTS Hemlock woolly adelgid ~8-30 km year Ongoing studies: GM, BBD, EAB, and others
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Water Stress Projections for the Northeastern and Midwestern United States in 2060: Consequences for Human and Fish Communities REGIONAL ANALYSIS – NORTHERN FOREST FUTURES WaSSI values > 1 indicate demand exceeds supplies Native fish species diversity
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Changes in forest habitat classes under alternative climate and land-use change scenarios in the Northeast and Midwest, USA REGIONAL ANALYSIS – NORTHERN FOREST FUTURES 2010 forest land area by and change by habitat class and 50- yr projections by future scenarios
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RMAP Forest Ownership (Nelson et al. 2010): http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/36054http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/36054 Historical forest density change (Liknes et al. 2013): http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/43744 http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/43744 Per-state tree species distribution maps (Riemann et al. In Review) RDS Forest Ownership (Nelson et al. 2010): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2010-0002/ http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2010-0002/ Historical woodland density (Liknes et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0006/ http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0006/ Tree Species Basal Area (Wilson et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0013/ http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0013/ Forest Carbon Stocks (Wilson et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0004/ http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0004/ GLRI forest disturbance (Perry et al. In Progress) Western Great Lakes stand age (Nelson et al. In Progress) REGIONAL/NATIONAL ANALYSIS – RDS & RMAP
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RMAP – STATE SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS
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NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA MAP ATLAS SAMPLE FEATURE – ECONOMIC BENEFITS PROVIDED BY FORESTS Employment as a fraction as state economy Mills in the Southeast
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Work continues with new collaboration tools facilitating progress (SharePoint) WO publications shop in the loop to lay groundwork for printing process Publication release date: IUFRO meeting; Salt Lake City; October 2014 ESRI and new AGOL guidelines will facilitate data distribution NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA MAP ATLAS
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Team composed of USFS, Industry, University. Two years of data collection complete, ~500 felled trees. Substantial legacy data has been obtained from other studies, industry work, etc. In process of moving lab work out of universities to SRS lab in Athens – reduce cost. Continual FIA funding is challenging; seeking other funding sources. NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA BIOMASS STUDY
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2013 intensity at 12.5% of P2 sample (2X P3) 3 rd year of data (2013) collection is underway – will be available in FIADB within 6 months of last production plot date. Crowns – Dieback and Uncompacted Crown Ratio Veg – Cover by height layer for various growth forms (e.g., tree, shrub, forb, graminoid) Regen – Browse, Site Limitations, Seedling by height class, Seedling source (~ PRS protocols) Invasives – Cover by species DWM – Reduced to 2 transects per subplot P2+ FOREST HEALTH INDICATORS
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2011-2013 Completed Contacted 27,000 private landowners Preliminary cooperation rate: 47% First time remeasuring same sample points Unprecedented potential for trend analyses Estimation approach has been updated Methods published in Journal of Forestry New automated table generation NATIONAL WOODLAND OWNERS SURVEY
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2011-2013 In Process Complete data processing (December) Distribute preliminary tables (January) Goal of 105 publications submitted in FY2014 100 articles in landowner magazines, newsletters, and other “gray’ literature Minimum of five peer-reviewed publications including overview journal article and documentation GTR Incorporate data into NIMS Vermont intensification Initiate planning for next iteration (2015?) New hire using outside funding NATIONAL WOODLAND OWNERS SURVEY
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NRS-hosted December 4–6, 2012 in Baltimore, MD 12 plenary presentations, 128 general presentations, 22 posters Proceedings published– 75 papers Participants from US, Canada, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Colombia 4 papers published in recent issue MCFNS (Liknes, Morin, Canham guest eds.) 2012 FIA SYMPOSIUM
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QUESTIONS ??
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