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Heartland Coast-to-Coast Corridor Study ___________________ Presented Sept. 11, 2007 Sanibel Harbour Resort Spa Heartland Coast-to-Coast Corridor Study ___________________ Presented Sept. 11, 2007 Sanibel Harbour Resort Spa
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Heartland Coast-to-Coast Study Corridor 130-mile Corridor 130-mile Corridor 150-mile Corridor 150-mile Corridor
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Typical Roadway Section (not to scale)
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Floridas Future Corridors Action Plan
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Corridor Study Summary Conceptual corridor & typical section Project cost estimate Travel demand forecast (traffic volumes) Gross revenue / net revenue estimate Calculation of bonding capacity Determination of toll funding contribution Conceptual corridor & typical section Project cost estimate Travel demand forecast (traffic volumes) Gross revenue / net revenue estimate Calculation of bonding capacity Determination of toll funding contribution
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Project Cost Estimate (2007 Present Day Dollars) I-75 to Floridas Turnpike (130 miles) Construction$3,765,000,000 Engineering 565,000,000 Right of Way 260,000,000 TOTAL$4,590,000,000 I-75 to Floridas Turnpike (130 miles) Construction$3,765,000,000 Engineering 565,000,000 Right of Way 260,000,000 TOTAL$4,590,000,000 I-75 to I-95 (150 miles) Construction$4,345,000,000 Engineering 652,000,000 Right of Way 303,000,000 TOTAL$5,300,000,000 I-75 to I-95 (150 miles) Construction$4,345,000,000 Engineering 652,000,000 Right of Way 303,000,000 TOTAL$5,300,000,000
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Travel Demand Forecasts Used Turnpike State Model Open-to-traffic year = 2015 Modeled years 2015 and 2035 Toll rates = $0.10/mile and $0.12/mile Toll increase 25% every 10 years State road improvements per Work Program through 2015 Local road improvements Used Turnpike State Model Open-to-traffic year = 2015 Modeled years 2015 and 2035 Toll rates = $0.10/mile and $0.12/mile Toll increase 25% every 10 years State road improvements per Work Program through 2015 Local road improvements
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Year 2035 Traffic (AADT) 4,300 4,900 7,200 4,600 2,300 5,500 To Tpk.
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Year 2035 Traffic (AADT) 25,400 18,700 17,600 16,900 10,200 6,100 8,700 4,300 4,900 7,200 4,600 2,300 5,500 To Tpk. To I-95 4,600 2,300
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Revenue Forecasts Estimates for $0.10/mile and $0.12/mile Toll increase 25% every 10 years Gross revenue stream year 2015 – 2044 Subtract O&M costs to get net revenues Calculate bonding capacity Compare bonding capacity vs. costs Estimates for $0.10/mile and $0.12/mile Toll increase 25% every 10 years Gross revenue stream year 2015 – 2044 Subtract O&M costs to get net revenues Calculate bonding capacity Compare bonding capacity vs. costs
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Toll Revenue Estimates East Terminus at Turnpike Gross Net Year 2015 $2.1 M N/A Year 2044$40.9 M$2.7 M East Terminus at Turnpike Gross Net Year 2015 $2.1 M N/A Year 2044$40.9 M$2.7 M Bonding Capacity = N/A
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Toll Revenue Estimates East Terminus at Interstate 95 Gross Net Year 2015 $8.0 M N/A Year 2044 $135.8 M$87.0 M East Terminus at Interstate 95 Gross Net Year 2015 $8.0 M N/A Year 2044 $135.8 M$87.0 M Bonding Capacity = $434 M
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Toll Funding Contribution (assumes 2012 construction start) East Terminus at Turnpike Bonding CapacityN/A Project Costs (escalated) $ 5,720 M SHORTFALL $ 5,720 M East Terminus at Turnpike Bonding CapacityN/A Project Costs (escalated) $ 5,720 M SHORTFALL $ 5,720 M East Terminus at Interstate 95 Bonding Capacity $ 434 M Project Costs (escalated) 6,603 M SHORTFALL $ 6,169 M East Terminus at Interstate 95 Bonding Capacity $ 434 M Project Costs (escalated) 6,603 M SHORTFALL $ 6,169 M
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-10% -22% -24% -9% NC -1% SR 60 Traffic Impacts (projected Year 2035) 21,700 / 16,600
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SR 70 Traffic Impacts (projected Year 2035) -13% -10% -46% -17% -16% -17% -8% 13,000 / 10,800
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What Next? Organization of stakeholders Regional growth vision Environmental stewardship plan Protection of corridors Organization of stakeholders Regional growth vision Environmental stewardship plan Protection of corridors
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Heartland Coast-to-Coast Corridor Study ___________________ Presented Sept. 11, 2007 Sanibel Harbour Resort Spa Heartland Coast-to-Coast Corridor Study ___________________ Presented Sept. 11, 2007 Sanibel Harbour Resort Spa
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