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Measles Outbreak
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WHAT IS THIS PICTURE?
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Case Definition Clinical case definition – Any person in whom a clinician suspects measles infection – Any person with fever, maculopapular rash, cough, coryza, conjunctivitis Laboratory criteria for diagnosis – 4x increase in antibody titer, isolation of measles virus, or presence of IgM antibodies
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What is considered an outbreak? DOH: – 1 case, suspected or confirmed, in a community where there was no case in the past – 1 case per 2 weeks for 2 consecutive weeks WHO – Number of cases observed is greater than the number normally expected in the same geographic area for the same period of time
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Outbreak Timeline (Metro Manila) 25 cases 2012 179 cases Dec 10 2013 760cases Jan 11 2014 DOH Declared Outbreak Jan 4, 2014 21 barangays In 9 cities 716% increase 416 % increase DOH statistics Only 6% of the reported Cases are confirmed
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Philippines YearConfirmed measles cases Incidence (per 1 million) Deaths due to measles 20088749.88 2009149016.610 2010638868.234 2011655569.128 2012149915.55 2013172417.9721 Source: WHO. Country Profile-Measles Elimination.
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DOH National Epidemiology Center Jan 1 – Dec 14, 2014 1,724 cases and 21 deaths Majority came from Metro Manila (744 cases) 13/17 regions of the Philippines have measles case increase 2013 (NCR) 416 confirmed cases – 1568 % increase! 2012 (NCR) 25 confirmed cases Las Pinas (78), Manila (72), Muntinlupa (65), Caloocan (45), Paranaque (32), Malabon (31) – Urbanized, congested area – High mobility of the residents – Supposedly good EPI coverage
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Source: WHO. Country Profile-Measles Elimination.
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Population at Risk Children under age 5 years old – Higher percentage of death due to measles complication – 158,000 people died from measles in 2011 Pregnant women Immunocompromised
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MCV2 routine coverage: the level of coverage by the second dose of the measles-containing vaccine, as reported in the annual WHO/UNICEF Joint Reporting Form on Immunization.
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Goals Herd Immunity – Vaccination coverage of no less than 95% – The “Iligtas sa Tigdas ang Pinas” program in 2011 only covered 84% of the population (15,649,907) – MR vaccine 16% (~3million) were unvaccinated or in 2 years since at 84% coverage, 6 million were unvaccinated Measles Free by 2017 (WHO) – 1 case per 1 million population
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Vaccination Measles – At 9 months – At 6 months during outbreaks Maternal antibodies may have dwindled already MMR – 2 doses – 1 dose 90% immunity Booster at 12-18 (15) months – 2 doses almost 100% immunity At 4-6 years of age Some children who have been vaccinated still got infected 2-3% may not develop antibodies Some parents refuse vaccination – Religious belief – Transfer of residence
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Government Response Vaccination – It will take a couple of weeks before they develop immunity Mass Immunization Campaign that aims to cover children <5 years old (11.7 million) – Door to Door approach – All (6mo-59 mo) will be vaccinated regardless of prior vaccination (unless does is <1 month ago) or if recently had measles DepEd and DOH advise voluntary quarantine
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Government Response Mandatory Nutrition Program – FNRI: underweight children 0-5 years (3.35 million) – Significant increase in prevalence among 6-10 years old from 22.8% in 2005 to 25.6% in 2008 Those who are malnourished are at increased risk of dying from measles complication – Vit A supplementation can reduce mortality risk by 50% Tayag: “infants and children with measles should be hospitalized” – Panic among parents
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Government Response Checking for new strain – DOH declared no new strain for this measles outbreak
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What can we expect? A further rise in measles cases in the coming months peaking during the summer where virus replication is faster
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TMC Statistics
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