1. Evaluation Research ………………………. Edward Renner K. Edward Renner Evaluation Research 14241 110th Terrace Largo, FL 33774 (727) 595-3857 erenner@kerenner.com www.kerenner.com Social and Behavioral Sciences Class 5 Cognitive Tools: Rational Thinking

2. Evaluation Research …………………….. Edward Renner www.kerenner.comerenner@kerenner.com2 Characteristics of Key Concepts Must be logical Must be testable Must be reasonable

3. Evaluation Research …………………….. Edward Renner www.kerenner.comerenner@kerenner.com3 Key Concepts: A. Must be Logical: All As are Bs All Bs are Cs Therefore A is a C

4. Evaluation Research …………………….. Edward Renner www.kerenner.comerenner@kerenner.com4 Key Concepts: A. Must Not be Illogical: Informal Fallacy of False Assumption: All horses in this barn are cows All cows can be milked Therefore the horses in this barn may be milked

5. Evaluation Research …………………….. Edward Renner www.kerenner.comerenner@kerenner.com5 Must Not be a Formal Fallacy: A Common Example A is not a B C is not a B Therefore C is an A When sex is consensual panties are not torn Christines panties were not torn Therefore Christine had consensual sex

6. Evaluation Research …………………….. Edward Renner www.kerenner.comerenner@kerenner.com6 Bill Gates quote p101 in Friedmans The World Is Flat: In defense of friction-free market driven capitalism. To have a movement that says innovation does not deserve an economic reward is contrary to where the world is going. Putting the whole argument in formal terms: Open-source software does not drive innovation forward Friction free capitalism is not open sourced Therefore friction-free capitalism drives innovation