1. Embodied Foresight & Intelligence Analysis Alex Burns (aburns@swin.edu.au) 1 June 2006

2. Agenda  Background on Embodied Foresight  Key Influences  Theory-Action-Review cycle  Self-Reflective practices  Implications for Intelligence Analysis

3. Acknowledgments  Embodied Foresight has emerged through ‘trialogues’ in April—May 2006 with: Josh Floyd Josh Floyd Jose Ramos Jose Ramos Chris Stewart Chris Stewart

4. Embodied Foresight  Has emerged over 2003-2006 as novelty and synthesis  Meta-methodology: Individual practitioner as holonomic  Timeframe: Self-reflexive awareness of the Aion/Aeon  Knowledge Interests: Anticipatory, Enactive, Self-Reflexive  Discourses & Methodologies: Anticipatory Action Learning, Enactive Cognition, Integral Futures, Self- Reflexive methods, Trialogues, Presence  Example Book: Senge, Scharmer, Jaworski and Flowers’ Presence: Human Purpose and the Field of the Future (2004)

5.  Bohmian dialogue on deeper ways of learning and knowledge (epistemes)  Whole-Systems Thinking  Society for Org. Learning (MIT)

6. Key Influences  David Bohm (creative dialogue)  Robert K. Greenleaf (servant leadership)  Sohail Inayatullah (causal layered analysis)  John Lilly (meta-programming)  Humberto Maturana & Francisco Varela (action learning and enactive cognition)  William Irwin Thompson (myth/metaphor layers and cultural archetypes)

7. Theory-Action-Review Cycle  Developed from Action Learning/Research  Theory Mental Models, Ontologies, Epistemologies Mental Models, Ontologies, Epistemologies Multiple Ways of Knowing Multiple Ways of Knowing  Action Enactive Cognition model (Maturana & Varela) Enactive Cognition model (Maturana & Varela)  Review Pattern Recognition Pattern Recognition Problem Domain Expertise Problem Domain Expertise

8. Self-Reflective Practices  Journaling Tristine Rainer’s The New Diary approach Tristine Rainer’s The New Diary approach  Presence Peter Senge and Otto Scharmer Peter Senge and Otto Scharmer  Self-reflexive Research Kim Etherington Kim Etherington Malcolm Ashmore Malcolm Ashmore  Contemplative and Meditative practices

9. Intelligence Analysis Implications  Reflection is vital to theory-making Different theories about Al Qaeda Different theories about Al Qaeda ‘Old’ versus ‘New’ Terrorism ‘Old’ versus ‘New’ Terrorism  Integrates experience and knowledge  Cognitive complexity for emerging threats  Cultivates ethics and long-term awareness  Initiatory approach to IC ‘wisdom culture’