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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 A Presentation for Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of Parapsychology October 2008, Utrecht, The Netherlands Roger Nelson Director, Global Consciousness Project http://noosphere.princeton.edu Consciousness and Psi Can Consciousness be Real?
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 An Early Understanding F. W. H. Myers believed that a theory of consciousness must derive from, and be able to accommodate … the full range of human experience, including not only normal psychological phenomena but also … what Myers called "supernormal" phenomena. -- E. Kelly and C. Alvarado, 2005
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Experimental Science Joseph Banks Rhine and his colleagues summarized the developing scientific research field in the book Extra-Sensory Perception After Sixty Years
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Technology, Psychology, Aesthetics Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research (PEAR) Director Robert Jahn, Lab Manager Brenda Dunne Nearly three decades of supported research Tapping the resources of a great university Consciousness and Psi from a personal perspective
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Enjoy yourself or try to learn, You will annoy someone. And if you don’t, You will annoy someone. Enjoy yourself or try to learn, You will annoy someone. And if you don’t, You will annoy someone. -- Idries Shah, The Mullah Nasrudin
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 At PEAR we asked ordinary people To change the behaviour of machines Chaotic Fountain Random Drumbeat Benchmark Electronic REG/RNG Linear Pendulum Dual Thermistor We found Significant Effects
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Random Event Generator (REG) Intention to change machine behaviour High and Low both depart from expectation HI LO BL
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Looking at PK in experiments with Many different physical random sources, We confirmed that conscious intent is effective Linear Pendulum
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 How about PK in a macroscopic system? 2m wide 3m tall “Pinball” machine, 19mm balls But Left vs Right is just a decision = information Random Mechanical Cascade
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Psi in a natural experiment – Princeton reunions Group consciousness is unconscious or subconscious, but it is evidently real 10,000 people really want good weather Control: no focus, no coherent group It may be …
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Second major experimental focus Remote Perception (RV) performance Suggests consciousness is not localized DistanceTime Highly significant composite score overall, e.g. p = 10 -8
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 We identified many pieces of the puzzle Attitude, acceptance, expectation, choice Mental, not physical parameters An example: Time invested in the psi task Is arguably the “right” metric for comparisons Time normalized yield is comparable For all PEAR PK experiments Time-based ES is similar across labs RV and Ganzfeld 2-3 times larger than PK
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 FieldREG Experiments: Deep engagement Coherent group consciousness and emotion Group chanting: Sacred space Great Pyramid, inner chambers Numinous event: Shamanic Healing ritual for Devils Tower Expectation for the data is a level random walk Moving out of the lab
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Expansion to global dimension Colleagues in Europe and the US Collected 12 independent data streams Expectation is level trend
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 http://noosphere.princeton.edu/egghosts/ A world-spanning network of REGs (EGGs) Google Map of nodes
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 The World Trade Center September 11 2001 Tamara Beckwith Continuous random Data since 1998 What do we see In the data? An example
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 September 11 2001 Destruction of the World Trade Towers Increased network variance for 50 hours Two days
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 More positive: Synchronized meditation Half a million people around the world Significant reduction of network variance
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 New Years Eve 1999-2008 (10 years, 37 time zones) Signal averaged device variance decreases
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Concatenate 10 years of formal replications 264 rigorously defined global events Odds: 20 million to 1 against chance But it is a small effect: The average Z-score is about 0.35
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 The GCP is now in a second phase Deeper analysis finds structure Six independent measures and correlations The GCP is now in a second phase Deeper analysis finds structure Six independent measures and correlations Structure SigmaP-value S1 3.67 0.0001 S2 2.45 0.007 Distance[S1] 1.49 0.07 Distance[S2] 2.48 0.006 Correlation[S1 S2] 1.95 0.02 Combined Results Phase 2 3.90 0.00005 Combined Results Phases 1&2 5.35 5x10 -8 Calculations by Peter Bancel; Reduced dataset amenable to all analyses
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Distance: Closer pairs = Stronger correlations S1: z i z j S2: z i 2 z j 2 Deeper analysis – Parametric elements – Modeling is next
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Looking at categories: Emotions Explorations: What matters, what doesn’t
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 ~650 Major earthquakes, Richter 6 or more Only those on land show a pattern in GCP data 553 Controls Ocean Quakes +/- 30 hours 92 Quakes on Land +/- 30 hours Reciprocal linkage to human consciousness The realty of consciousness Is clearly implied
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 1. Physical and statistical theories are incomplete 2. Individual, group, global consciousness are real 3. Consciousness is information, not energy 4. Models of the world must include consciousness 5. Mind matters – it can directly change the world Decades of Psi Research Contributions largely unrecognized (Until now … But that will change)
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 What's Next? The Future of Parapsychology 1. Replicate experiments with strong implications 2. Dig deeper with clear, sophisticated analysis 3. Develop richer predictive theoretical models 4. Create applications for science education 5. Write articles that focus on Myers’ point 6. Engage our mainstream colleagues 7. Foster young researchers GCP 2008
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 Is this the future of Parapsychology? I think not... Mainstream guysPsi research
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Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct 15 2008 GCP/EGG Project The people who make it go International collaboration of 100 Scientists, Artists, Friends, … Peter Bancel, Paris, professional analysis, collaboration William Treurniet, Canada, egganalysis programming John Walker, Switzerland, programming, general support Richard & Connie Adams, USA, general support Paul Bethke, USA, windows programming, network Dick Bierman, Netherlands, design and realtime display Dean Radin, USA, design and independent analysis Brad Anderson, USA, widget programming Taylor Jackson, Canada, realtime display maintenance Greg & Lefty Nelson, USA, program architecture, general support Fernando Rodríguez, Spain, egghosts google map York Dobyns and PEAR, general support, server hosting Leane Roffey, USA, music, outreach, general support Jaroen Ruuward, Netherlands, realtime programming Dick Shoup, USA, independent analysis Nishith Singh, India, realtime programming Mahadeva Srinivasan, India, general support … And all the EGG hosts around the world
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