1. www.swslim.org.uk Recession Briefing RDA Project Managers Meeting Nov 2009 Ben Neild Assistant Director, SLIM

2. www.swslim.org.uk UK GDP Source: ONS

3. www.swslim.org.uk Unemployment, SW Source: ONS / BBC

4. www.swslim.org.uk Employment Rate, SW Source: LFS % Working age population in Employment

5. www.swslim.org.uk Employment Rate, SW Source: LFS % Working age population in Employment, May to July 2009

6. www.swslim.org.uk Employment Rates Source: LFS % Change, year to May to July 2009

7. www.swslim.org.uk Unemployment, SW Source: JC+ / NOMIS

8. www.swslim.org.uk Claimant Count Source: JC+ / NOMIS SW, Adjusted & Unadjusted, Jan to Oct 2009

9. www.swslim.org.uk Claimant Count Grown by regions Source: JC+ / NOMIS Indexed, April 08 = 100

10. www.swslim.org.uk Claimant Count Rates by region Source: JC+ / NOMIS

11. www.swslim.org.uk Claim duration Source: JC+ / NOMIS

12. www.swslim.org.uk Redundancies Source: JC+ administrative data Notified redundancies each week, South West, 1st Nov 2008 to 12th June 2009

13. www.swslim.org.uk Vacancies Source: JC+ / NOMIS

14. www.swslim.org.uk Claimants per vacancy - SW Source: JC+ / NOMIS

15. www.swslim.org.uk Claimants per vacancy - LA Source: JC+ / NOMIS

16. www.swslim.org.uk Gender - Employment Rates Source: LFS South West Employment Rate by gender, indexed, Aug 08 = 100

17. www.swslim.org.uk Gender – Claimant Count Source: JC+ / NOMIS South West Claimant Count by gender

18. www.swslim.org.uk Source: JC+ / NOMIS Age – Claimant Count South West, Indexed, April 2008 = 100

19. www.swslim.org.uk Claimant Count by Age Source: NOMIS / JC+ + 3% of age band

20. www.swslim.org.uk Claimant Count 20 to 24 yrs olds (Aug 09) Source: NOMIS / JC+

21. www.swslim.org.uk Impact on Sectors Source: JC+ administrative data

22. www.swslim.org.uk Impact on occupations Composition of Employment & Claimant Count, South West, August 2009 % Claimants% Employment Managers and Senior Officials 6%16% Professional Occupations 5%12% Associate Professional and Technical Occupations 7%15% Administrative and Secretarial Occupations 11% Skilled Trades Occupations 13%12% Personal Service Occupations 5%9% Sales and Customer Service occupations 15%8% Process, Plant and Machine Operatives 11%6% Elementary Occupations 27%11%

23. www.swslim.org.uk Impact on occupations Change over time Composition of Claimant Count, South West, August 2008 & August 2009 OccupationAug-08Aug-09 Managers and Senior Officials 5.4%6.1% Professional Occupations 3.9%4.5% Associate Professional and Technical Occupations 6.4%7.0% Administrative and Secretarial Occupations 11.3%10.9% Skilled Trades Occupations 11.9%13.2% Personal Service Occupations 5.0%5.1% Sales and Customer Service occupations 15.1%14.8% Process, Plant and Machine Operatives 10.0%10.8% Elementary Occupations 30.8%27.4%

24. www.swslim.org.uk Unemployment Lagging Indicator Source: LFS, ONS Estimates 19 Quarters of positive growth before unemployment returns to pre- recession levels We have now had 6 successive quarter s of negative growth