2. The link between casualties and demographic data - and the importance of vehicle design Iain Reeve Assistant Director (Economy, Transport and Planning) Surrey County Council Louise Lloyd Chartered Statistician, TRL

3. 3 Iain Reeve Assistant Director Economy, Transport & Planning

4. 4 Ten a day, five a month. 1994199519961997199819992000200120022003 GB3,65 0 3,62 1 3,5983,5993,4213,4233,4093,4503,4313,508 Surrey687368765773 536663 20042005200620072008200920102011 GB3,2213,2013,1722,9462,5382,2221,8501,901 Surrey72645260 45413228

5. 5 2012, so far.... JanFebMarAprilMayJunJulyAugSepOctNovDec Fatalities113000116*0 Cumulative1255556713 All Surrey roads (provisional) The 6 fatalities in October included 3 in one incident – a coach crash on the A3 near the Hindhead Tunnel

6. For those who prefer pictures 6 Note: The 2012 Surrey figure is a pro-rata of 10 months provisional data

7. Insert the title of your presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean? Louise Lloyd

8. Page  8 Agenda Who: Which road user groups? Why: Vehicle safety influences Why: Temporal and economic influences What does this mean? 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction

9. Aim Page  9 Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

10. Aim Page  10 Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

11. Hypotheses Page  11 Changes in: Financial stability Vehicle safety Weather Traffic

12. Page  12 Agenda Who: Which road user groups? Why: Vehicle safety influences Why: Temporal and economic influences What does this mean? 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction

13. Page  13 Casualty trends by road user type Killed casualty trend by casualty class

14. Fatal casualties by age group Page  14

15. Young driver licence holders Page  15

16. Page  16 Agenda Who: Which road user groups? Why: Vehicle safety influences Why: Temporal and economic influences What does this mean? 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction

17. Page  17 Exposure data by car class Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type

18. Fatality rate by car type Page  18

19. Car registration year Page  19 Year of accident 0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 20009% 11%13% 20106%7%8% 10% Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

20. Car registration year Page  20 Year of accident 0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 20009% 11%13% 20106%7%8% 10% Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

21. Car registration year Page  21 Year of accident 0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 20009% 11%13% 20106%7%8% 10% Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

22. Page  22 Exposure data by car age Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car

23. Page  23 Car secondary safety – drivers

24. Page  24 Car secondary safety – drivers

25. 2000-2001 registered cars Page  25 Fatalities

26. 2000-2001 registered cars Page  26 Fatalities Seriously injured

27. Page  27 Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection

28. Page  28 Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection

29. Page  29 Agenda Who: Which road user groups? Why: Vehicle safety influences Why: Temporal and economic influences What does this mean? 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction

30. Quarterly fatality numbers Page  30

31. Quarterly fatality numbers Page  31

32. Minimum quarterly temperature Page  32

33. Minimum quarterly temperature Page  33

34. Page  34 Agenda Who: Which road user groups? Why: Vehicle safety influences Why: Temporal and economic influences What does this mean? 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction

35. Conclusions Page  35 Financial stability Vehicle safety Weather Traffic

36. Conclusions Page  36 Traffic General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding

37. Conclusions Page  37 Financial stability Traffic General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding

38. Conclusions Page  38 Vehicle safety No change to trend in improvements due to secondary safety

39. Conclusions Page  39 Weather Progressively colder winters

40. What does this mean in Surrey? Page  40

41. 41 This is important Road safety figures are always subject to some variances, but...... these results seem to be too extreme to be a random spike. We should not claim that we were responsible for all of this improvement. It seems to be a mixture of causalities – weather, recession, driver behaviour, vehicles More research is needed We need a dialogue on how to capture some or all of this improvement We need to inform drivers and vulnerable road users Suggests that we can reduce road deaths still further... if only we understand what is happening. Conclusions

42. Page  42 Louise Lloyd Senior Statistician 01344 770145 lklloyd@trl.co.uk