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Running Scared from the Hill and at Home SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation on theme: "Running Scared from the Hill and at Home SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov."— Presentation transcript:

1 Running Scared from the Hill and at Home SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 10 th District of Illinois The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov Running Scared from the Hill and at Home

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 10 th District of Illinois Race/Ethnicity 81.5% White 4.8% Black 7.1% Asian 14.2% Hispanic Occupation 75.9% White Collar 14.5% Blue Collar Median Income $81.5k in district $53.7k in state Partisanship Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index, D +4 04 Presidential Vote Kerry, +5 SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Incumbent Mark Kirk Occupation Attorney Political Experience Chief of staff to Congressman John Porter Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs, U.S. Department of State First Elected 2000 Committees Appropriations Military Service Naval Reserves, 1989- present SOURCE: kirk.house.gov

5 Table 4.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Mark Kirk, 2001-08

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Figure 1. Presidential Support Scores for Mark Kirk, the Average Scores of Illinois Republican Representatives, and Annually Averaged Presidential Approval Ratings, 2001-08

7 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Candidates: Challenger Dan Seals Occupation Presidential Management Intern, 1997-98 Director of Marketing, GE Commercial Finance, 2003- 06 Political Experience Democratic nominee for Congress in 10 th District, 2006 (lost by 13,651 votes) SOURCE: www.myspace.com/dansealsforcongress

8 Table 4.2 Campaign Finance Data for Illinois 10 th District, 2000-08

9 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: The Polls

10 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Seasons of Change NOTE: Internet access required.

11 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Turned His Back NOTE: Internet access required.

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Same People NOTE: Internet access required.

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Just Say No NOTE: Internet access required.

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Partner Building Bush's Failed Economy NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Illinois Needs A Change NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Short Sighted NOTE: Internet access required.

17 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Double Speak NOTE: Internet access required. NOTE: No television ads produced by the Kirk campaign or the NRCC were available.

18 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign NOTE: Ads produced by the Kirk campaign or the NRCC were unavailable.

19 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Results


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