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June 2003 How do we make money? Financial management, valuation and financing Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management
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2 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management How do we make money? The business model Financial management Forecasting and valuation Funding required and equity offered ROI and exit strategy
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3 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Determine the business model How do we create value? Who do we create value for? How do we differentiate ourselves? How will we make money?
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4 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management How do we make money? The business model Financial management Forecasting and valuation Funding required and equity offered ROI and exit strategy
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5 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Determine your needs Think about your income and cash needs Think about your sales and funding needs
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6 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Two ways to look at your finances Operating view - budgeting –Operating budget –Cash-flow budget Accounting view - forecasting and valuation
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7 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Expense and operating budget
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8 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Cash flow budget
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9 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management The Path to Profitability (P to P) What is profitability? Startup can fund all operations from cash flow How much investment needed until then?
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10 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management The burn rate and months remaining Methods of calculating the burn rate –GAAP –EBIDTA (before interest, depreciation, taxes and amortization Calculate months remaining –Remaining months liquidity –How many months worth of cash does the company have left? Multiple burn rates may be required to reach milestones until startup can fund from its own revenues
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11 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Principal financial statements Balance statement - the company’s financial condition Income statement (P&L) - the success of the business Cash flow statement - cash availability and needs of the business
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12 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Balance statements must balance Economic resources of the company Ability to provide future benefits to the firm Cash Inventory Equipment Left side - Assets Liabilities - creditor’s claims on the assets of the firm Accounts payable, bonds payable Shareholder’s equity - the owner’s claim on the assets of the firm Contributed capital Retained earnings Right side - Liabilities & Equity
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13 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Why is financial information important to entrepreneurs? No cash, no business Financial information pulls together all information presented in the other segments of the business; marketing, manufacturing & management It quantifies all assumptions & historical information concerning business operations
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14 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management How do we make money? The business model Financial management Forecasting and valuation Funding required and equity offered ROI and exit strategy
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15 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Forecasting requires predicting the future
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16 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management We predict using pro forma financials Three to five years of: Income statements Balance sheet Cash-flow statement P&L
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17 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Preparing your forecasts Project from bottom up Sales growth and market share are key Project cash requirements
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18 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management What is the value of a firm? Fundamental value? Technical value? Balance sheet value of assets? Market value of assets? Multiple of book value?
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19 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Company valuation methods Price to earnings (p/e) Dividend yield Multiple of book value Comparables Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
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20 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Comparables Use value that has already been established either in public markets or through a sale for a comparable company Difficulties –How to find comps –Accounting methods vary –Public versus private liquidity –Changing market conditions
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21 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management DCF Valuation Model Firm value is discounted present value of future cash flows Percent of sales forecasting Tie income-statement and balance sheet figures to future sales Variable costs and most current assets and liabilities tend to vary directly with sales Only future sales require prediction; relationship between items can be calculated more easily
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22 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Discounted cash flow Project cash flow from operations for 3-5 years Adjust the cash flow for factors such as non-recurring items of income and expense, depreciation, amortization, interest and taxes Discount the cash flow as adjusted, using alternative assumptions for time and risk factors.
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23 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management What are our time, scope and size ambitions? Subsistence model Income model Growth model Speculative model
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24 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Scalability and its costs Scalability necessary for VC investment $300MM gross profits within 5 years Scalability is expensive - marketing, infrastructure, etc. Demonstrate need and value of product or service with $3MM? Get to break even with less than $20MM with yearly revenues of $100MM in 5-10 years
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25 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management How do we make money? The business model Financial management Forecasting and valuation Funding required and equity offered ROI and exit strategy
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26 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management What are sources of funds? Profits/Retained earnings Equity Debt
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27 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Funds needed How much does the company need? What percentage does the company want to sell? –Often too much or too little –This is the wrong question Set performance and fund-raising milestones –How much money do you need to achieve the next milestone? –Divide defensible firm value by funds needed to determine percentage to sell
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28 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Sources of funds Own money (OM) Friends and Family (F&F[and Fools]) Angels Incubators Corporations Customers, suppliers, lessors and strategic partners Government grants and investments Banks for VC loans
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29 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Uses of funds Be detailed No big salaries for founders How will these funds be used to fuel necessary growth? Sufficient funding to reach next financing milestone
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30 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Funding stages Founder’s capital Seed/Angel Series A, B, C Mezzanine Pre-IPO IPO
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31 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Pre-money valuation Worth of the business before VC investment Amount invested by VC divided by –Agreed pre-money value of business + –Amount invested by VC = equity owned by VC –VC receives equity share based on post money total –$3MM pre + 1 MM VC = 25% VC equity
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32 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management How do we make money? The business model Financial management Forecasting and valuation Funding required and equity offered ROI and exit strategy
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33 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management VC hurdle rate Minimum yearly compounded rate of return VC expects from investment (risk assessment) Seed stage 60-100% Early stage 60% Late stage with profits 40% Bridge financing to cash out 20%
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34 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Why are VC’s hurdle rates so high? VCs must deliver above-average returns to their investors Percentage of winners and losers –20/80 at best Overall return required by VC investors 30/40% –Do the math
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35 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Post money valuation Used to estimate the price the business must command at the liquidity event If liquidity event is sale in 5 years, and hurdle rate is x%, can calculate sale price required $4 million post money; 50% hurdle rate Sale price must = $30 MM
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36 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Calculate VC’s Projected ROI Take projected earnings from DCF model in exit year Multiply by comparable P/E multiple for industry to calculate price Multiply by VC’s equity percentage at exit to calculate VC’s share Divide VC’s share by original investment
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37 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Exit strategy and market conditions Liquidity event –Convert private equity to cash or freely tradable stock –Sale or IPO –Merger with public company –Back-door listing, –Reverse merger Within 3-5 years Only 10-15% of liquidity events
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38 6XXXX Douglas Abrams - Parallax Capital Management Contact us Douglas Abrams Managing Director Parallax Capital Management dka@parallaxcapital.com www.parallaxcapital.com 65-6238-3492, 65-9780-5381 (hp) 390 Orchard Road, #11-01 Palais Renaissance, Singapore 238871
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