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A Corporate Perspective: the Significance of the Kyoto Mechanisms Tom Jacob DuPont tom.jacob@usa.dupont.com October 29, 2002 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
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F Science-based solutions... u Food & Nutrition u Health Care u Apparel u Home & Construction u Electronics u Transportation F From a global company u Operations in 70 countries
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F A company concerned about climate change –Committed in ‘91 to reducing GHG’s –Reduced our global emissions by over 50% during decade of ‘90’s –New goals for coming decade u Attain 65% reduction from ‘90 u Maintain flat energy consumption u Source 10% of energy from renewables
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low Non-Issue Low
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low Non-Issue Environmental Issue Low
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low Non-Issue Economic Issue Environmental Issue Low
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low Non-Issue Economic Issue Environmental Issue Low DUPONT
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Perceived Environmental Risk Very High Perceived Economic Risk Very High Climate Change & Industry Low Non-Issue Economic Issue Environmental Issue Significant Complex Challenge Low
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A LONG TERM ISSUE Concentration ( ppmv ) 1000 800 600 400 Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 2X Pre- Industrial Potential Concentration Targets 200021002200
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A LONG TERM ISSUE Concentration ( ppmv ) 1000 800 600 400 Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 2X Pre- Industrial Potential Concentration Targets 200021002200 2000 Total Emissions (CtC/yr) 21002200 0 5 10 15 20 Toward Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 “Business as usual” Related Emission Pathways Total current emissions
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A LONG TERM ISSUE Concentration ( ppmv ) 1000 800 600 400 Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 2X Pre- Industrial Potential Concentration Targets 200021002200 2000 Total Emissions (CtC/yr) 21002200 0 5 10 15 20 Toward Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 Developing country emissions “Business as usual” Related Emission Pathways Total current emissions
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A LONG TERM ISSUE Concentration ( ppmv ) 1000 800 600 400 Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 2X Pre- Industrial Potential Concentration Targets 200021002200 2000 Total Emissions (CtC/yr) 21002200 0 5 10 15 20 Toward Stabilization at: 1000 650 450 Developing country emissions “Business as usual” Related Emission Pathways Total current emissions Kyoto Protocol
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The Longer-Term Challenge F Continued emissions in developed nations F Growing Population --> Growing Emissions F Long-term Need –Reduce global emissions, while strengthening global economy F Increasing pressure on emissions!!
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Longer-Term Solution F Technology evolution/revolution –Accelerate technological advancement u Encourage technological innovation F Mobilize globally –Global economic vitality --> diffusion of technology u Economic growth in more climate-friendly way F Key Notion: Cost-Effective Use of Capital
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Markets & Flexibility F Market-stimulated investment ---> Global emissions growth –Must have global system encouraging innovation and cost-effective climate action u Workable, integrated market mechanisms u Incentive for FDI as well as climate- specific investment F Must develop, identify and act on least-cost opportunities to minimize impact of that growth
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Greenhouse Gas Reduction Cost Marginal Cost of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Projects
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Greenhouse Gas Reduction Cost Marginal Cost of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Projects ** + + + + + ** **
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Greenhouse Gas Reduction Cost Marginal Cost of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Projects ** + + + + + ** ** Priority For Investment
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100% 20%40%60%80%100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Environmental Benefit Cost The “80-20” Rule You accomplish 80% of the environmental benefit with the first 20% of costs.
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100% 20%40%60%80%100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Environmental Benefit Cost The “80-20” Rule High Cost/Low Return
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100% 20%40%60%80%100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Environmental Benefit Cost The “80-20” Rule High Cost/Low Return Low Cost/High Return
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100% 20%40%60%80%100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Environmental Benefit Cost The “80-20” Rule
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100% 20%40%60%80%100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Environmental Benefit Cost The “80-20” Rule Trading is the key!
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Bye, Now...
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