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Richelle Winkler & Collin Payne Wisconsin High School Graduate Projections Presentation for the University of Wisconsin System March 13, 2008
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State of Wisconsin: High School Graduate History and Projections, 2001-2019
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How do APL projections compare to WICHE?
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Why are graduates projected to decline? K-12 School Enrollment is declining. Between 2001-2006, 69% of school districts declined. Age structure of K-12 students is older. Births in Wisconsin were low in 1990s and early 2000s.
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Wisconsin’s K-12 School Enrollment, Fall 2006
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Births to Wisconsin Mothers, 1980-2011
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Wisconsin Births by Race/Ethnicity, 1990-2006
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Wisconsin Workforce Development Areas
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Projected % Change in Graduates by WDA, 2006-2012
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Projected Change in High School Graduates 2006-2012
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High School Graduate Projections by Sex, 2001-2019
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Public High School Graduate Projections by Race/Ethnicity
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The proportion of graduates who are persons of color is increasing
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Wisconsin Age Structure by Race/Ethnicity
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Public High School Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity
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Public High School Graduation Rates by Sex and Race/Ethnicity, 2003
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Plans to Pursue a College Education by Race/Ethnicity
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Plans to Pursue a College Education by WDA
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Summary Points Peak numbers 2008, then projected decline Similar trends for males and females overall Similar for different race/ethnic groups, except Hispanics who will see substantial increase Changing race/ethnic make-up of population under 18 will likely introduce new challenges and opportunities Wisconsin’s Public School Enrollment: Past, Present, Future
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