2. Military technology comes from club to attack/defense robots by Research and Development (R&D) Dr. György Seres DSc. 2003

3. What’s different between animal and human being?

4. Only human being uses military technology.

5. Military technology comes from club to attack/defense robots by Research and Development (R&D)

6. I show selections from history of Military R&D for illustration

7. Selections from history of Military R&D Attack tools

8. Version 1.0 Version 3.0 Version 4.0 Version 2.0 Beta version Versions of clubs

9. Swords and sabres

10. Individual distance shooting

11. Artillery

12. Bombs

13. Selections from history of Military R&D Defensive tools and vehicles

14. Defensive tools

15. Vehicles

16. Unmanned land, undersea and air combat vehicles

17. Selections from history of Military R&D Systems

18. Air Defense System

19. Strategic Defense Initiative ( SDI or Star Wars)

20. Selections from history of Military R&D Future

21. “”The nature of modern warfare demands that we fight as a joint team. … Joint Vision 2010 provides an operationally based template for the evolution of the Armed Forces for a challenging and uncertain future. ….” John M. Shalikashvili Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff By US Army

22. Digital battlefield

23. By US Air Force „Air Force 2025” The Air Force University conducted a study to identify the concepts, capabilities, and technologies the United States will require remaining the dominant air and space force in the first quarter of the 21st century. The study was called Air Force 2025.

24. Worldwide C 4 I system

25. Virtual theatre of war

26. By NMD Team The primary mission of National Missile Defense is defense of the United States (all 50 states) against a threat of a limited strategic ballistic missile attack from a rogue nation. Although intended to protect the United States only, the proposed NMD system will not work without the use of radars in Europe or in territories controlled by European countries.

27. National Missiles Defense system ( NMD )

28. First conclusion Only two type of weapons were developed, against which wasn’t effective defense!

29. Club Nuclear weapon &

30. Defensive tool against club was frightful mask only

31. The SDI was planned as defensive tool against nuclear weapon It hasn’t been realized,but as a result the USSR collapsed It hasn’t been realized, but as a result the USSR collapsed

32. I developed a model for study of Military R&D, like an old model creator Universal model of military systems

33. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities Command, neighbours, logistics, etc. Geographical, meteorological, daytime, etc. Attack, defense Alliance, national armed forces, branches, etc. Universal model of military systems

34. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities Purpose of military systems must be determined by friendly environment Victory, destroying, occupation, defense, etc. … or threat, deterrent, extortion,

35. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities But purpose can be determinated also by neutral environment Surviving a desert or sea storm, etc.

36. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities And purpose can be determinate also by enemy environment Retreat, etc.

37. Second conclusion R&D mission: to reach all the purposes of military systems

38. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities Retreat, etc. Victory, destroying, occupation, defense, etc. Surviving a desert or sea storm, etc. R&D mission: to reach all the purposes of military systems … or threat, deterrent, extortion,

39. Third conclusion One of main goals of R&D: to decrease danger for human in combat

40. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities One of main goals of R&D: to decrease danger for human in combat

41. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities by increasing radius of attack tools Technology One of main goals of R&D: to decrease danger for human in combat

42. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities by increasing effectiveness of defense tools One of main goals of R&D: to decrease danger for human in combat

43. Friendly Neutral Enemy Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Human Technology Survival Result Capabilities by automation Computer One of main goals of R&D: to decrease danger for human in combat

44. Fourth conclusion The ultimate goal of R&D: to make military systems capable to reach its purpose without human participation

45. Purpose Military system Environment Requirements, conditions Organization Computer Capabilities Military robot Human Technology Friendly Neutral Enemy Human Survival Result The ultimate goal of R&D: to make military systems capable to reach its purpose without human participation

46. Fifth conclusion Role of technology in armed combat: contact two adverse systems

47. Friendly Neutral Enemy Technology Human Organization Survival Result Organization Human Technology Survival Result Reconnaissance Strikes Role of technology in armed combat: contact two adverse systems

48. If somebody remembers On the first ROBOTWARFARE conference in 2001 I presented a model like this

49. Z ZvZv ZoZo VtVt VvVv C B ARMED COMBAT SYSTEM RtRt RvRv VoVo OBJECT ATTACKER DEFENDER I v I IkIk IoIo On the first ROBOTWARFARE conference in 2001 I presented a model like this

50. Z ZvZv ZoZo VtVt VvVv C B ARMED COMBAT SYSTEM RtRt RvRv VoVo OBJECT ATTACKER DEFENDER I v I IkIk IoIo ARMED COMBAT AS A SYSTEM

51. The Attacker against the Object and it’s Defender are related in combat as close as two subsystems of a big-system.The Attacker against the Object and it’s Defender are related in combat as close as two subsystems of a big-system. Resources of the combat-activity (R t or R v ) are the inputs, and the losses (V t or V v and V o ) are the outputs.Resources of the combat-activity (R t or R v ) are the inputs, and the losses (V t or V v and V o ) are the outputs. The relationship between the components are:The relationship between the components are: –reconnaissance (I or C) –and strikes (Z or B). Consequently, the two subsystems form an independent big-system, which is the Armed Combat System itself as such.Consequently, the two subsystems form an independent big-system, which is the Armed Combat System itself as such. This model includes all specifics of a cybernetic system, and that’s why we are able to analyze Combat with adequate and rich cybernetic tools. The basic ideas of my Armed Combat model are the followings:

52. Reviewing the past: I put some questions for myself in 2003 When two armed forces did really engage using comparable military technology?When two armed forces did really engage using comparable military technology? –1975, in Vietnam War! Which two antagonistic superpowers had comparable military technology, and when?Which two antagonistic superpowers had comparable military technology, and when? –USA and USSR in 1991!

53. That’s why I try: how does my new model work if technology level of two systems isn’t comparable? Fifth conclusion

54. Friendly Neutral Enemy Technology Human Organization Survival Result Organization Human Technology Survival Result Reconnaissance Strikes Armed combat, if technology level isn’t comparable

55. Friendly Neutral Enemy Survival Result Reconnaissance Strikes Armed combat, if technology level isn’t comparable Kamikaze type Technology Human Organization Human Technology Survival Result

56. Organization Human Technology Human Organization Friendly Neutral Enemy Survival Result Survival Result Reconnaissance Strikes Armed combat, if technology level isn’t comparable Yugoslavia type

57. Friendly Neutral Enemy Technology Human Organization Survival Result Organization Human Technology Survival Result Reconnaissance Strikes Armed combat, if technology level isn’t comparable Guerilla type

58. If somebody remembers On the second ROBOTWARFARE conference in 2002 I formulated a question: How can we compare different input and output parameters of the Armed Combat System?

59. My answer was:

60. … and the proposed value-model of the Armed Combat System was K(V t ) K(C+B) ARMED COMBAT SYSTEM K(R t ) ATTACKER DEFENDER K(I+Z) K(R v ) K(V v ) Where: K(R t ), K(R v ) – material and moral value of resourcesK(R t ), K(R v ) – material and moral value of resources K(V t ), K(V v ) – material and moral value of lossesK(V t ), K(V v ) – material and moral value of losses K(I+Z), K(C+B) – material and moral value used for getting information or for strikes resourcesK(I+Z), K(C+B) – material and moral value used for getting information or for strikes resources

61. Reviewing the past: I put a question for myself in 2003 What does the phrase „MATERIAL AND MORAL VALUE” mean for terrorist organizations?

62. Reviewing the past: I put a questions for myself in 2003 What does the phrase „MATERIAL AND MORAL VALUE” mean for terrorist organizations?

63. That’s why I try: how does my new model work, if military system is a terrorist organization? Sixth conclusion

64. Human Survival Strikes Friendly Neutral Enemy Technology Human Organization Survival Result Role of technology in terrorist systems Reconnaissance

65. Friendly Neutral Enemy Technology Human Organization Survival Result Human Survival Reconnaissance Strikes A special case of state terrorism is the coup, when military system has its own goal

66. Ultimate conclusion This model of military systems is universal, because it is suitable for study :

67. any level of military systemsany level of military systems coherence among human, technology and organization subsystemscoherence among human, technology and organization subsystems influence of different purposes for military systemsinfluence of different purposes for military systems armed combat, if technology level of sides isn’t comparablearmed combat, if technology level of sides isn’t comparable role of technology in terrorist military systemrole of technology in terrorist military system

69. Dr. György Seres drseres@jata.org http://www.jata.org/drseres/