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Bayesian Believer Brought to you by the Lyrics: Brad Carlin

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Presentation on theme: "Bayesian Believer Brought to you by the Lyrics: Brad Carlin"— Presentation transcript:

1 Bayesian Believer Brought to you by the Lyrics: Brad Carlin
Music: Neil Diamond/The Monkees/Smashmouth

2 I thought inference was just a fairy tale,

3 Confused by stats and probability.

4 Frequentist approaches made no sense to me.
Summarizing evidence by p?!

5 Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

6 Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

7 I couldn’t p now if I tried!
I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

8 I thought likelihood was just
the only thing.

9 Turn the crank and get the MLE.

10 What's the use of thinking? Disconnect your brain.
Play along and minimize the pain. MLE!

11 Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

12 Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

13 I couldn’t p now if I tried!
I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

14 GIVE IT UP FOR DON HEDEKER!!

15 Fixed effects and forced normality!
SAS was out to get me. That's the way it seemed. Fixed effects and forced normality!

16 Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

17 Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

18 I couldn’t p now if I tried!
I’m a Bayesian! Oh, I’m a believer, I couldn’t p now if I tried!

19 Then I saw Tom Bayes Now I'm a Believer!

20 Without a trace of doubt in my mind!

21 Oh, I’m a believer, yeah, yeah
Bayes Rules!


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