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Population: Global Patterns and Trends Introduction to Global Studies XIDS 2301
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Farmers protest Food riots http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/18/world/ americas/18food.html The light blue line shows that between 2005 and 2007, food prices have increased by more than 50%. Thus, a basket of food that cost $20 in 2005 cost more than $30 in 2007.
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How does “population” account for the rising demand for food in the “developing world”?
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World Population Clock Natural Increase perWorld More Developed Countries Less Developed Countries Less Developed Countries (less China) Year80,794,2181,234,90779,559,31171,906,587 Day221,3543,383217,971197,004 Minute1542151137 2005 Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.
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World Population Growth (in billions)
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 1. Size 2. Growth 3. Distribution 4. Composition
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 1.Size
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A.D. 2000 A.D. 1000 A.D. 1 1000 B.C. 2000 B.C. 3000 B.C. 4000 B.C. 5000 B.C. 6000 B.C. 7000 B.C. 1+ million years 8 7 6 5 2 1 4 3 Old Stone Age New Stone Age Bronze Age Iron Age Middle Ages Modern Age Black Death—The Plague 9 10 11 12 A.D. 3000 A.D. 4000 A.D. 5000 1800 1900 1950 1975 2000 2100 Future Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998). World Population Growth Through History (in billions)
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Number of years to add each billion (year) All of Human History (1800) 130 (1930) 30 (1960) 15 (1975) 12 (1987) 12 (1999) 14 (2013) 14 (2027) 21 (2048) Sources: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau. Third through ninth billion: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005. World Population Growth
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World Population Growth (in billions)
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 2. Growth Principal components of population growth: --Natural Increase --Net Migration
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Rates of birth, death, and natural increase per 1,000 population Natural Increase Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005. Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide
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Note: Natural increase is produced from the excess of births over deaths. The Classic Stages of Demographic Transition
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 2. Growth Principal components of population growth: --Natural Increase BR, DR; also TFR --Net Migration (immigration, emigration)
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© 2008 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU Every Country Has a Different Pattern of Fertility Decline. Sources: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision; Population Reference Bureau; and Korea National Statistics Office. Fertility Patterns for Selected Countries: 1950-2010
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Total Fertility Rates (2000-2005)
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Percent of Population Living on <$2 per Day Source: Population Reference Bureau, Population & Economic Development Linkages 2007 Data Sheet. Total Fertility Rate Niger Jordan Mongolia Association Between Fertility and Poverty
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Percent of Girls Enrolled in Secondary School Source: Population Reference Bureau, Population & Economic Development Linkages 2007 Data Sheet. Total Fertility Rate Palestinian Territory Uruguay Morocco Association Between Fertility and Education
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Female Labor Force Participation Rate 2004 Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005; International Labor Organization, Yearbook of Labor Statistics 2006. Total Fertility Rate 2000-2004 Turkey Djibouti Philippines Association Between Fertility and Employment
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 3. Distribution
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Map of World Population ~2000 Cartogram adjusts area by some value, such as size of population
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Population Growth
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World Population Growth (in billions)
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Year 1
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World Map
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Year 1
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1500
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1900
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1960
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2000
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2050
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2300
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Total Fertility Rates (2000-2005)
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Total Fertility Rates (1970-1975)
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Childhood Mortality Among the Poor Poorest Economic Quintile Deaths under age 5 per 1,000 births Source: ORC Macro, Demographic and Health Surveys.
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Population Living on Less Than US$2 per Day 2002 Percent Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2006.
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Population: Global Patterns and Trends 4. Composition
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© 2008 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU By 2050, One in Every Five Americans Will Be Age 65 or Older. Source: Population Reference Bureau, analysis of data from U.S. Census Bureau. Percent of U.S. Population in Selected Age Groups: 1970-2050
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