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Think Ahead Again Across
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Three Secrets 1.Understanding the Context 2.Seizing the Opportunities 3.Addressing the Risks and Challenges
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1. Understanding the Context
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Myanmar Pivotal moment in economic, social, and political transition Prioritization and sequencing of policy actions and investments critical to success of reform agenda and long-term development
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Projections Annual average gross domestic product (GDP) growth as high as 9.5% by 2030 From pre-reform baseline of 4.8% GDP per capita to nearly $5,000 by 2030, up from about $900 today
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Myanmar Ripe with possibilities for foreign investors Emerging market in every sense of the word Isolated from international community for many decades Bypassed globalisation
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Myanmar Fresh opportunities Attracting foreign corporations and agencies eager to invest in energy and resources, telecommunications, financial services, manufacturing and infrastructure sectors Enormous labour force and consumer market
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Myanmar Asia’s Last Frontier Last untapped sizeable economy and market in Asia Easing of international sanctions
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Strategic Location Combined market of close to three billion people Conduit to Indian Ocean and beyond
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Reforms Political Economic and Social Administrative Private Sector Development ‘
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Little Done, More To Do Focus on developing economy and rebuilding financial, legal and physical infrastructure Promote inclusive growth Developing skilled workforce
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Little Done, More To Do Foreign investment Sharing of technology and skills
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Eight Strategic Areas 1.Accelerating governance and public sector reform 2.Ensuring macroeconomic and financial stability 3.Creating business-enabling environment 4.Leveraging rich natural endowments 5.Fostering internationally competitive sectors - manufacturing and services 6.Enhancing regional connectivity and integration 7.Promoting human development and poverty reduction 8.Pursuing environmentally sustainable growth
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2. Seizing the Opportunities
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Strategic Opportunities 1.Digital Leapfrogging 2.Urbanization 3.Shift in economic structure 4.Reconnecting with global “Latecomer Advantage”
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New Opportunities FDI SEZs
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FDI 2014-15 Over 100 Foreign Companies Over 50 Local Companies
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Goals Job creation Sustainable and inclusive growth Re-engagement with international economic community
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Investment Opportunities Extractive Resource Sector - Natural gas, Timber, mining Power generation Agriculture and Fisheries Labour-intensive manufacturing sector
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Foreign Investors Bridge gaps in Myanmar’s economy Meeting Myanmar’s immediate needs provide opportunities in longer term for sustainable economic growth
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Foreign Investors Add value in many sectors Financial Services Infrastructure Urban Development Power, Electricity, Telecommunications Hospitality Manufacturing Agriculture SEZs
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Investment Strategies for Foreign Companies Scope of opportunities immense - size, population, resources, market and relatively undeveloped economy Immediate demand for products or services across wide spectrum of industries
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Seizing Short-term Opportunities Identify areas where immediate solutions can be provided Keep ‘bigger’ picture in mind Adopt entrepreneurial approach Creating ‘niches’
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3. Addressing the Risks and Challenges
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Past Centralised command economy Self-sufficiency Sanctions Institutions and enterprises isolated from international market Information gaps, infrastructural challenges and policy risks
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‘Frontier’ Economy Attendant risks and challenges
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Challenges Financial, legal and regulatory systems Unforeseen contingencies
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Lack of Infrastructure Insufficient telecommunication infrastructure and coverage Transport and logistical links underdeveloped Lack of power
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Tackling the Challenges Serious commitment of time and financial resources Realities on the ground - legislative and regulatory restrictions Assess probability of success
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Niche Opportunities Myriad opportunities Identify and provide selected services or products within key sectors Deliver solutions that meet specific needs,
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Niche Opportunities Establish meaningful foothold Careful feasibility studies Ancillary support
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Opportunities for Early ‘Adopters’ Work with local public and private partners Long-term sustainability and mutual success
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Quick Wins Immediate results wins trust Combine short-term objectives with long- term strategies
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Risk Mitigation Essential in frontier market Contingency plans in place Due diligence Stay abreast of both prevailing market forces and government policies Political risk insurance for large investments Prudence
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