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Daniel Nietfeld – NOAA/NWS/WFO Omaha NE Kansas City IWT Workshop: Using the WAS*IS Approach January 22, 2009
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Did it seem dangerous, or even life-threatening? Rear flank downdraft (straight-line winds) Behind a tornadic supercell (Hallam, NE) What would be the best way to handle this scenario with a warning, and any associated siren blowing ??? What would be a good polygon solution for this scenario ???
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T
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NWS WCM Home Owner Saw
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Sound the sirens when the NWS issues a tornado warning IT HI T WITHOUT ANY WARNING !!!!! (From the NWS, or from a siren perspective)
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NWS WCM Home Owner Saw
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Significant outcry Meeting with the Mayor and Staff Press Conference 3 days of news coverage Google “Omaha” “Tornadoes” “June 8”
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Xavier 14 Yr Old Boy Scout Note the scar
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4 Killed 48 Injured
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Must camp with a Severe Wx Trained adult Severe weather training courses Involving the IWT in groups such as Boy Scouts Sirens / Outdoor warning devices Storm Shelters
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What IF ? Do you want a TOR Inside a SVR ???
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Tornado Warnings off/on 715 pm – 10 pm Sirens off/on for nearly 3 hours Were polygons too large? (We were operating without a radar at times) Should we take these political boundaries into account?
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3-D KOAX Reflectivity at 2159 UTC (courtesy GR Level 2 Analyst)
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Hurricane force winds Lasting for several minutes Damage and debris was widespread NO TORNADOES (?What is the best product for this scenario?)
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Storm statistics: Path length: 90 miles Path width: 4 to 6 miles Estimated maximum wind speeds: 110-115 mph (EF2) One fatality (tree fell on car in Council Bluffs, IA) and several minor injuries Damage estimate: $53+ million in Douglas County (Omaha)
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When to activate: When the National Weather Service initiates a Tornado Warning for any portion of Douglas County. When a public safety official or trained storm- spotter states that s/he is in site of a rotating funnel cloud or tornado within Douglas County. When Douglas County 911 receives credible reports of damage or the eminent threat of hurricane-force sustained winds equal to or greater than 74 mph.
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During night-time conditions or in the absence of adequate warning, the on-duty 911 supervisor can direct an activation of the outdoor warning sirens if he/she determines that lives may be saved and injuries averted by alerting the public to the severe weather condition. Getting a bit vague here…
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Original Policy was product driven and failed when the science did not permit the proper product to be issued Revised Policy was more impact driven, and worked when a life-threatening (but non- tornadic) weather event occurred
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Kansas City Metro area ? Lincoln, Nebraska – spotter sighting only Minimizing False Alarms Flash flood policies ?
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June 8 Local Media flurry Live press conference with Mayor and 911 Director June 11 National Media June 27 Local Media Insurance companies, lawyers, roofing companies, etc.
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Siren Policies Scout Camp issues Shelters Sirens Should NWS Warnings have GIS data? (camps, etc…) Polygon methodologies Products that fit the event (wide range of Severe)
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Daniel Nietfeld – NOAA/NWS/WFO Omaha NE Kansas City IWT Workshop: Using the WAS*IS Approach January 22, 2009
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