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SKF Year-end results 2014 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO
28 January 2015 10 April 2017
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Examples of new business in Q4 2014
GE Aviation and Safran Group, Mainshaft and gearbox (Snecma & Hispano-Suiza) bearings Chongqing Gearbox Co., Ltd, China Bearing sets Andritz Hydro, Germany Special bearing and sealing solution Mazda, Mexico Low-friction wheel bearing units Daimler, Germany Wheel hub bearing units Jiangsu Jintongling Fluid Machinery Co., Ltd, High-speed permanent China magnetic motor unit solutions
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Examples of new business in Q1 – Q3 2014
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd, India Customized bearings for helicopter transmission and main rotor Bell Helicopter Textron Inc.,USA Elastomeric bearings Turbogaz, Ukraina Magnetic bearings SCA, BillerudKorsnäs, Condition monitoring solutions Vattenfall, Sweden Geely Automobile, China Transmission seals Volkswagen, Germany Energy efficient tapered roller and ball bearings Envision Energy, China Strategic long-term partnership
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Examples of new business in Q1 – Q3 2014
Dongfang Electric New Energy, China Main shaft bearings equipment Aurizon, Australia Service contract Doosan Heavy Industries and SKF Supergrip Bolts Construction, South Korea and SKF Nautilus bearing HSD SpA, Italy Super precision bearings and engineering support Tesla Motors, USA Bearing for the gearbox, e-motor and wheels Volvo Cars, Sweden Wheel hub bearing units Scania, Sweden Wheel bearing units and high pressure valve stem seals
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Customer awards Q4 2014 Best supplier award – Kirloskar Pneumatic Company Ltd., India Best supplier award – Nanjing Gearbox Company, China Top runner-up ’Best Vendor’ – Tata Steel, India Winner ’Cloud’ category – Software AG Innovation Awards Supplier Quality Excellence awards 2014 – General Motors, USA Quality Silver Award 2014 – Bajaj Auto Limited, India
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Examples of new technologies, products and solutions 2014
SKF Wireless Machine Condition Sensor SKF Mudblock cassette seals, MUD 11 SKF Gear Bearing Unit SKF Wireless MicroVibe Compact tapered roller bearing unit for heavy freight Tapered roller bearing unit for passenger railway applications Electric grease transfer pump SKF Oil Injection Sets - THKI series Connect SKF Tachometer Floating piston PuraBreeze 100
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SKF Group – Q4 2014 Financial performance (SEKm) 2014 2013 Net sales
18 499 16 430 Operating profit 1 608 -1 547 Operating margin, % 8.7 -9.4 Operating margin excl. one-time items, % 11.2 11.0 Profit before tax 1 293 -1 760 Basic earnings per share, SEK 1.84 -4.57 Cash flow after investments before financing 2 053 -6 732 Organic sales growth in local currency: SKF Group 2.8% Europe 1% Strategic Industries 7.4% North America 2% Regional Sales and Service 2.2% Asia 8% Automotive -0.5% Latin America 4% Middle East and Africa -5% Key points Sales volumes up by 1.8% y-o-y. Manufacturing was relatively unchanged compared to last year.
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SKF Group – 2014 Financial performance (SEKm) 2014 2013 Net sales
70 975 63 597 Operating profit 7 801 3 693 Operating margin, % 11.0 5.8 Operating margin excl. one-time items, % 11.7 11.9 Profit before tax 6 668 2 821 Basic earnings per share, SEK 10.10 2.0 Cash flow after investments before financing excl. EU payment 4 693 5 342 Cash flow after investments before financing 1 868 Organic sales growth in local currency: SKF Group 3.9% Europe 1% Strategic Industries 8.4% North America 3% Regional Sales and Service 1.8% Asia 10% Automotive 2.0% Latin America Middle East and Africa 9% Key points Sales volumes up by 3.3% y-o-y. Manufacturing was slightly higher compared to last year.
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Organic sales growth in local currency
% change y-o-y 2012 2013 2014
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Organic sales growth in local currency
% y-o-y 3.9% -0.7% -2.5% Structure in 2012: 0.4% Structure in 2013: 2.5% Structure in 2014: 3.7%
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Sales development by geography Organic growth in local currency Q4 2014 vs Q4 2013
Europe 1% North America 2% Asia/Pacific 8% Latin America 4% Middle East & Africa -5%
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Sales development by geography Organic growth in local currency 2014 vs 2013
Europe 1% North America 3% Asia/Pacific 10% Latin America 1% Middle East & Africa 9%
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Components in net sales
2012 2013 2014 Percent y-o-y Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Volume -0.8 -2.8 -5.0 -5.9 -8.7 -1.6 2.2 7.1 6.2 3.6 1.9 1.8 Structure -0.1 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.6 1.1 4.8 4.7 3.8 5.4 0.9 Price/mix 2.0 0.5 0.7 -0.6 -0.2 -0.4 1.3 Sales in local currency -3.7 -4.2 -6.5 0.4 3.1 11.7 10.5 8.4 8.6 3.7 Currency -2.7 -3.6 -4.0 -2.2 -2.1 5.3 8.9 Net sales 1.4 2.8 -6.4 -7.8 -10.5 -4.6 9.6 10.4 9.5 13.9 12.6
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Operating profit as reported
SEKm 2012 2013 2014
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Operating profit excluding one-time items
SEKm 2012 2013 2014
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Operating margin One-time items * Excluding one-time items 12.0* 11.9*
% 12.0* 11.9* 11.7* 11.3 11.0 5.8
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Operating margin per business area as reported
% Regional Sales and Service Specialty Business Strategic Industries Automotive 2012 2013 2014
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Operating margin per business area excl. one-time items
% Regional Sales and Service Specialty Business Strategic Industries Automotive 2012 2013 2014
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Operating profit bridge, Q4 2014 excl. One-time items
SEKm +300 -398 +110 +165 +23 +2 078 +75 +1 803 -1 547 Q4 2013 Volumes excl. Specialty Business Price/mix excl. Specialty Business Specialty Business Savings Currencies Other* Q4 2014 * R&D, S&A, IT, inflation etc. One-time items 2013: 2014:
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Operating profit bridge, 2014 excl. One-time items
SEKm +180 -1 227 +500 +375 +390 +505 +8 291 +7 568 2013 Volume excl. Specialty Business Price/mix excl. Specialty Business Specialty Business Savings Currencies Other* 2014 * R&D, S&A, IT, inflation etc. One-time items 2013: 2014:
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Net working capital as % of annual sales
Target: 27% % 2012 2013 2014
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Return on capital employed
One-time items * Excluding one-time items % 17.1* 15.1* 14.8* 16.2 13.9 7.5 ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months rolling average of total assets less the average of non-interest bearing liabilities.
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Cash flow, after investments before financing
SEKm 1) 5) 4) 3) 2) 2012 2013 2014 Excl. acq. and div.: 1) Q SEK million 2) Q SEK -69 million 3) Q SEK 871 million 4) Q SEK million Excl. EU payment 5) Q SEK million
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Net debt AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm): 2012 Q2 2 504 2013 Q2 2 530
Cash out from major acquisitions (SEKm): 2012 Q3 829 2013 Q1 823 2013 Q EU payment (SEKm): 2014 Q 2012 2013 2014 Net debt: Loans and net provisions for post-employment benefits less short-term financial assets excluding derivatives.
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Debt structure, maturity years
850 500 500 200 110 100 100 Available credit facilities: EUR 500 million 2019 SEK million 2016 EUR 150 million 2017 No financial covenants nor material adverse change clause
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January 2015: SKF demand outlook Q1 2015
Demand compared to the first quarter 2014 The demand for SKF’s products and services are expected to be slightly higher for the Group, higher for Asia and relatively unchanged for Europe, North America and Latin America. It is expected to be relatively unchanged for Automotive Market and Specialty Business and slightly higher for Industrial Market. Demand compared to the fourth quarter 2014 The demand for SKF’s products and services are expected to be relatively unchanged for the Group, Europe and Latin America, and slightly higher for Asia and North America. It is expected to be relatively unchanged for Industrial Market and Automotive Market and slightly higher for Specialty Business. Manufacturing Manufacturing is expected to be higher year over year and compared to the fourth quarter.
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SKF demand outlook Q1 2015, main regions
Share of net sales 2014 Europe 41% Asia Pacific 25% North America Latin America 6% Total Sequential trend for Q1 2015 Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014 +/- ++ +
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SKF demand outlook Q1 2015, main business areas
Share of net sales 2014 Industrial Market 60% Automotive Market 26% Specialty Business 13% Total Sequential trend for Q1 2015 Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014 + +/-
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SKF sequential volume trend Q1 2015, Industries
Share of net sales 2014 14% Cars and light vehicles 6% Energy 28% Industrial distribution Industrial, heavy, special and off-highway 11% Industrial, general 9% Vehicle service market Aerospace 5% Railway Trucks 2% Two-wheelers and Electrical
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Guidance for the first quarter 2015*
Tax level: < 30% Financial net: around SEK -250 million Currency impact on operating profit vs Q1: SEK +300 million Full year: SEK +900 million Additions to PPE: around SEK 1.7 billion for 2015 * Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates.
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SKF’s programme to improve efficiency and reduce cost
Restructuring Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 2013 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 2014 Total Cost, SEKm 200 250 190 50 490 100 20 220 340 1 030 People affected 530 410 320 130 860 170 30 300 1 690 Giving future gross savings: Full year gross savings SEKm 150 80 40 5 205 575 Realized gross savings from total programme, SEKm Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 2013 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 2014 Restructuring 15 35 75 200 70 50 10 140 S&A Purchasing 100 400 60 360 Total 165 185 225 800 130 150 110 500
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New productivity improvement programme
Main activities: Productivity gain through merging the industrial businesses - merger between Strategic Industries & Regional Sales and Service worldwide - streamlining of supporting country organisations in all main countries General staff optimization and productivity improvements - in Group Headquarters and central staff functions in the Automotive business Reduction of annual cost by SEK 1.2 billion by the end of 2016 Total cost for the programme around SEK 1.4 billion 1 500 people impacted. Major part of the programme implemented within 2015.
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Cautionary statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on under the Administration Report; “Important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”.
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