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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. New Product Trends 2005 Non-Food Valerie Skala Walker VP, Analytic Product Management, IRI valerie.walker@infores.com March 1, 2005
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 2 Overview Non-food Looking back What happened to last year's Pacesetters 2003-2004 Pacesetters Looking forward 2005 New Brands to Watch Trends
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 3 Year-One FDMx Sales ($MM) Top 10 New Brands of 2003: Where are they now? SOURCE: IRI InfoScan Reviews, year-one sales for the Top 10 new brands introduced between Feb ’02 and Jan ’03, compared versus CY2004 sales. * Mops category sales figures are based on a reduced Mass Merch sample. 2004 $273 $166 $29 $82 $56 $81 $136 $70 $89 $55
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 4 Which NON-FOOD brand was #1 in year-one FDMx dollar sales? $14 $8$5 $18$15 $16 $30 $11 $3 $9
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 5 Year-One FDMx Sales ($MM) Health Remedy Personal Appearance Top-Selling New Non-Food Brands, 2003-04 Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews FDMx $ sales, new brands with full year post-launch as of 12/26/04
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 6 Top 10 Non-Food Brands – Ad Spending * Source: Nielsen Media Research, total measured media spending Ad $MM* $71 $98 $45 $44 $49 $37 $57 $9 $55 $62 Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews FDMx $ sales, new brands with full year post-launch as of 12/26/04 Year-One FDMx Sales ($MM)
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 7 Projected Year-One FDMx Sales ($MM) Non-Food Ones To Watch in 2005, < 1 year old Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, FDMx sales from each brand’s launch through 12/26/04, projected to estimate total year-one sales. Weeks in Mrkt 40 20 48 16 48 24 20 32 44
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 8 Leading Trends in Home, Health, and Beauty Care in 2003-2005 I gave at the officeVitality: feeling good, looking good Value - on my terms Connections / Legacy Old brands try to regenerate interest in their category with innovative delivery systems that attract consumer attention
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 9 Bathroom Cleaning $16mm Y1 est. Y1 $27mm est. Y1 $31mm Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual or estimated year-one FDMx sales based on from each brand’s launch through 12/26/04. new Toilet Brushes: $72 mm Y1 FDMx
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 10 Around the Kitchen and Laundry Room Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual or estimated year-one FDMx sales based on from each brand’s launch through 12/26/04. est. Y1 $59mm Y1 $35mm est. Y1 $21mm
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 11 Air Freshening / Odor Neutralizing Sprays Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual Food-Drug sales from each brand’s launch date through 12/26/04. NOTE: This is a rare Reviews category for which we only report Food+Drug outlet sales, not Total FDMx. Febreze Air Effects $12 mm CY2004 Oust #13 - $33mm Y1 $65mm CY2004 Lysol Neutra-Air $26mm 2004
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 12 Decorative and "Motion" Air Fresheners #8 Ones to Watch est. $32mm Y1 Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual Food-Drug sales from each brand’s launch date through 12/26/04. NOTE: This is a rare Reviews category for which we only report Food+Drug outlet sales, not Total FDMx. #47 - $15mm Y1 tbd #27 Ones to Watch est. $19mm Y1
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 13 He's So Vain $9mm $16mm Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual or estimated year-one FDMx sales based on each brand’s launch through 12/26/04. #19 - $27mm Y1 #23 - $25mm Y1
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 14 DIY Botox / Face Lift / Facial Peel Alternative to "drastic measures" like peels, surgery, lasers Reduce wrinkles without Botox injections Like a salon facial Microderm- abrasion Facial Peel Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual or estimated year-one FDMx sales based on each brand’s launch through 12/26/04.
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 15 Interesting Make-Up News from 2004 #30 on 2003-2004 Pacesetters $22mm Y1 Source: IRI InfoScan Reviews, actual or estimated year-one FDMx sales based on each brand’s launch through 12/26/04. #72 on Brands to Watch List est. $9mm Y1 #39 on 2003-2004 Pacesetters List $18mm Y1
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 16 Misc. Health Remedies: Wart Removers Cost $20 - $25, but work in one treatment Previous products only cost $9 but took weeks of repeated treatment to work Grew the category, now a 50% $ share of category (25% unit share) $10mm Y1 $15mm Y1 est. $17mm Y1
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 17 Health Care Airborne Just came out in Q4 '04 Only in 41% of drugstores and very few supermarkets Not yet a Pacesetter but getting good buzz
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 18 Home Testing Kits Self-diagnosis & health monitoring via home testing kits The latest: - Test your cholesterol level - Determine if you're reaching menopause
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 19 Next Steps If you'd like a copy of this material ASAP including this year's dataset (for sale after this conference for $2,000): Leave your card with me here or at the Analytics booth with and I'll email it to you Bring your JumpDrive by the Analytics booth in the Idea Exchange exhibit hall and I'll copy it for you Email me any time at Valerie.Walker@infores.com Visit the Idea Exchange to learn about AttitudeLink surveys of new product triers & repeaters ShopperLink in-store studies Individual User within household Attribute Drivers 3 - predict sales & incrementality for new product concepts
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 20 Ways to Drive Brand Growth Through Innovation Sustaining - Established brand line extensions - Keep pace with population and market growth Market Creating Expansion into adjacent categories Disruptive Innovation within own category - Up-market march - Down shift (specialist to mass market) Brand Growth
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 21 Dollar Sales Change vs. YAG 2004 Growth Heroes: Health News, Vitality, Convenience (+15% and +$50 million CY2004 vs. YAG, real volume growth, still growing in Q4'04) Source: InfoScan Reviews, Net FSP $ Sales, CY2004, FDMx (except Groc. Only for Rfg Meats, Frz Breakfast, & Air Fresh) % Chg..… 15% 28% ………… 15% 26% ………………….. 62% 19% ……………………… 27% 16% ……………………. 15% 17% Red Bull Many.........................................40%
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Copyright © 2005 Information Resources, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidential and proprietary. 22 When category is - ADVERTISE YOUR BRAND to grow share and defend against lower-priced alternatives An Important Lesson Many
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