1. Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

2. Agenda  Intel Desktop Processor Overview  Intel Desktop Processor Roadmap -- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown -- P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison  Premio Desktop Roadmap -- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown  Other Desktop Technologies (USB, Firewire, AGP, etc.)  Summary

3. Intel Desktop Processor Overview  Intel’s next major push will occur in Q2/2003 when the P4’s front side bus will be increased to 800MHz (we went from 400MHz  533MHz  800MHz)  By Q2/2003, the majority of P4 CPUs will be 533FSB, with the 400FSB pushed down to the Celeron CPUs  With the launch of the next generation 865 family chipset (a.k.a., Springdale) in mid April/2003, Intel will be releasing P4/800FSB at lower speeds (2.4, 2.6, and 2.8GHz) with Hyper-Threading support  The P4/533FSB (2.4, 2.53, 2.66, 2.8, and 3.06GHz) processors will remain around until Q4/2003; Intel will gradually phase out the lower speeds  On the Celeron side, Intel will transition to the Northwood core and continue ramping up the speeds in 100MHz increments  Celeron FSB and L2 cache will remain at 400MHz and 128K

4. Intel Desktop Processor Roadmap P4-N/400 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 400MHz FSB P4-N/533 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 533MHz FSB P4-N/800 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 800MHz FSB P4-P/800 = Prescott core (0.09 micron); 1MB L2 cache; 800MHz FSB Celeron-W = Willamette core (0.18 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSB Celeron-N = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSB Red denotes Hyper-Threading Technology

5. Intel Processor Q2/2003 Breakdown  The major event for this quarter is the beginning of the transition to the 800MHz FSB  During this period, Intel will release 800FSB CPUs at lower speeds; keep in mind that all 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will have Hyper-Threading support  Both the 533FSB and 800FSB processors will run in parallel (2.4/533 + 2.4/800; 2.66/533 + 2.6/800; 2.8/533 + 2.8/800; 3.06/533 + 3.0/800)  The 800FSB parts will be priced a bit higher than their 533FSB counterparts; approximately $10 ~ $15 more  The Celeron (all speeds) will still be running at 400MHz FSB with 128K L2 cache; the reason is because Intel doesn’t want the Celeron overlapping into the P4 space

6. Intel Processor Q3/2003 Breakdown  Things will settle down a bit after the launch of the 865 chipset and 800FSB CPUs  No major changes for this quarter  By this quarter, Intel will have completely transitioned the Celeron to the Northwood core

7. Intel Processor Q4/2003 Breakdown  In this quarter, Intel will launch their next generation P4 processor based on the new Prescott core  The Prescott will have a 0.09 micron core with 1MB of L2 cache and will be launching at 3.4GHz  Other enhancements to the Prescott will be a refinement of their Hyper-Threading technology (HT2?)  Also, a series of hardware security features codename LaGrande may be added to the Prescott  LaGrande will work in conjunction with Microsoft’s Palladium software security initiative

8. Intel Processor Q1/2004 Breakdown  After the launch of Prescott, things will once again settle down  Intel will use this period to gradually phase out their 533FSB CPUs  Their goal is to push Hyper-Threading down to every P4 desktop systems starting in 2004  Prescott will be ramping up in speed, with a >=3.6GHz part available this quarter  No major changes for the Celeron, other than a continual ramp up of speeds to 2.6GHz

9. P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison Let’s take a look at the performance difference (if any) between the P4 533FSB and 800FSB Our system configuration is: Intel D865PERL motherboard Pentium™ 4/2.8GHz (533FSB and 800FSB) 512MB (2 x 256MB DDR266) WD 180GB / 7,200RPM IDE HDD (WD1800BB) Sapphire Radeon 9500 128MB Mitsumi 52x24x52x CDRW (CR-478ETE) For our test, we will use the P4/2.8GHz in both 533FSB and 800FSB; since the P4/2.8GHz/800FSB comes with HT and the P4/2.8GHz/533FSB does not, we will disable HT in the motherboard BIOS For our first benchmark we will use 3DMark 2003. This test will benchmark a system’s overall 3D performance From the graph on the right, we can see the performance delta between 533FSB and 800FSB is minimal at best. This is because this benchmark is heavily dependent on the video card, not the processor

10. P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison (cont.) Content Creation 2002 measures a system’s overall performance when running digital content creation applications such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Premier, Macromedia Dreamweaver, etc. Since this more intensive benchmark than Business Winstone, we should see a greater performance delta between the 800FSB and 533FSB CPUs In this benchmark, we can see the 800FSB CPU is about 14% faster than its 533FSB counterpart  In conclusion, there is a measurable performance increase going from 533FSB  800FSB Business Winstone 2001 measures a system’s overall performance when running common office suites such as Microsoft Office 2000 and Lotus Office. In this benchmark, we can see the 800FSB CPU is about 9% faster than its 533FSB counterpart

11. Premio Desktop Roadmap * = denotes new product; 865 platforms will launch at the middle of May/2003

12. Premio Desktop Q2/2003 Breakdown  Due to the 865 family chipset launch and 800FSB support, we will be adding a couple of new platforms  For ATX, we will add the 865PE (MSI m/b) and 865PERC (Intel m/b); no integrated video, but with integrated LAN + audio  For micro ATX, we will have the 865G (MSI m/b) and 865GLC (Intel m/b), both of which will come with integrated video and an open AGP 8X/4X slot, along with integrated LAN + audio  During this quarter, we will phase out the 850E2 Rambus platform; Intel will completely shift their memory support to dual DDR33/400 starting this quarter  On the ATX end, we will have the 854E, 854EBG2, 854EBG2L in parallel w/ the 865PE platforms; once our 845E series inventory is exhausted we will transition over the 865PE  On the micro ATX end, we will continue carry the S651B as a low cost solution, while phasing in the 865G platforms; also, we will change from 845GL to 845GV as a low cost Intel solution  We will have a minor refresh on the S651 to S651B (to enable Hyper-Threading support)  The micro ATX 845EM will gradually be phased out in favor of the 865G  The Calypso 4E will stay as is

13. Premio Desktop Q3/2003 Breakdown  Depending on pricing and demand for the 865 chipset, we may launch the Calypso 5 based on the 865G chipset  If the demand for a NetPC 865 platform is soft, we will continue with our existing Calypso 4E platform  Depending on pricing and demand, we may transition the S651 to the new S661 with 800FSB support  We will continue to monitor the demand for the 845E platforms  Your goal is to gradually transition your customer over to the 865 platforms

14. Premio Desktop Q4/2003 Breakdown  By end of this quarter, our transition to 865 should be complete  This will greatly simplify our desktop product line  We will keep the S661 around if there is sufficient demand, and use that as a low cost P4 solution

15. Premio Desktop Q1/2004 Breakdown  By the start of 2004, we should have completely transition over to the 865 family of chipset for our entire desktop product line  Looking beyond Q1/2004, things should be stable until possibly Q2/2004 or Q3/2004 when Intel will introduce a new socket type, which is dubbed socket 774 or socket T  Socket T will be used to pave the migration path to the P4 Tejas core, which will be the successor to the Prescott core  Tejas probably won’t be available until Q3/2004 or later, so details for it are sketchy at best, but it will probably have a 1.2GHz FSB (!!!)

16. Other Desktop Technologies  USB 2.0: It's available now; keep in mind that USB 2.0 is backwards compatible w/ USB 1.1 devices. It is also known as Hi-Speed USB. This should take us to the end of 2003 and beyond. There are no plans for USB 3.0 yet.  IEEE1394/Firewire: Currently, Firewire maxes out at 400Mbps; Firewire is mainly used for DV (digital video) editing. With the advent of USB 2.0, Firewire will remain a niche technology for use with video editing

17. Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)  Serial ATA is the evolution of IDE technology; current ATA-100 is the standard; (ATA-133 is available, but since it is not officially supported by Intel, it will remain a niche technology)  Serial ATA will start at SATA-150, or 150MB/sec  Specs for SATA II (300MB/sec) and III (600MB/sec [!!!]) are already in progress  Two major benefits of SATA is thinner cable and lower voltage requirements  Current flat ribbon ATA-100 cable is wide and can restrict airflow inside a chassis (see picture on right); while the SATA cable are much thinner and flexible  SATA will not take off until the introduction of the 865 chipset in mid May/2003; in the meantime, you will probably see some 3 rd party SATA PCI controllers

18. Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)  Memory: With the launch of the 865 chipset in mid May/2003, Rambus is officially dead; going forward, Intel will use dual channel DDR400  AGP: For the majority of desktop systems, AGP 4X will continue to be the norm; currently, ATI Radeon 9700 is AGP 8X, and nVidia is revising some of their current cards (for example, the GeForce4 Ti 4800) to AGP 8X. But there is very little performance gain going from AGP 4X to 8X

19. Summary for Intel Desktop Processors  For P4 processors, start transitioning your customers over to the 533FSB, if you haven’t done so already  Inform them that by the end of 2003, they should have moved to 800FSB or are in the process of doing so  For the Celeron processors, there is little or no changes, other than incremental speed increases every quarter  One of the benefit of moving to the 800FSB P4 is Hyper-Threading (HT)  All 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will be HT enabled

20. Summary for Premio Desktops  Starting in Q2/2003, the migration to the Intel 865 family of chipset (865PE and 865G) will begin  We will run the 845E and 865 chipset in parallel to ease the transitional period for your customers  The 850E2 Rambus platform will be discontinued; we will no longer support Rambus in the future  Depending on demand, we may bring in the Calypso 5, based on the 865G chipset, or stay with our current Calypso 4E  By the end 2003, we should have migrated over to the 865 chipset completely

21. The End Click here for self-assessment exam