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SINGLE STOCK FUTURE TRADING
Shaun van den Berg PSG Online: Head of Client Education _______________________________ James Boardman JSE Derivatives Wednesday,23 May 2012
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JSE PSG Online OVERVIEW Central Orderbook What are SSFs Terminology
SSFs versus Equities. Risk Trading Strategy Pricing Account Registration SSF Simulator
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JSE - A CENTRALISED MARKET
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JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS From this…
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… where you could expect this…
JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS … where you could expect this…
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… to this. Quiet, calm efficiency
JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS … to this. Quiet, calm efficiency
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JSE - A LEVEL THE PLAYING FIELD
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JSE - SSF GUARANTEE HIERARCHY
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JSE - IT WAS EASY TO SAY NO…
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JSE - CENTRAL ORDERBOOK
Introduced competition on rates Now they all come to you, hoping for a yes… Please? Please? You Please? Please? Please?
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JSE - SPREADS
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JSE - SPREADS R1.5 R1.5 R1 R99 R100 R101
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( ) Can’t compare absolute spread values between instruments
JSE - SPREAD COST Can’t compare absolute spread values between instruments Need to compare in percentage of exposure Value will be in basis points 1 Basis point = On average spreads on Top40 Futures are 25 Basis Points ( OFFER BID ) = Spread% ( OFFER BID ) 2
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Parking tickets! Magnus de Wet James Boardman Rudolf Oosthuizen
JSE - CONTACT DETAILS Parking tickets! Magnus de Wet James Boardman Rudolf Oosthuizen And that’s the very brief story of the JSE and the AltX market. Please feel free to ask any questions you might have and either myself or Noah Greenhill will do our best to answer them.
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SSFs are contracts entered into between 2 parties
PSG - WHAT ARE SSFs SSFs are contracts entered into between 2 parties Right for the buyer to take delivery of that stock on the date of the contract’s expiry, a ‘deposit’, known as the initial margin is made and used as security Close out or Roll positions An SSF contract is made up of 100 shares geared at around 15%
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Standardised contract SAFEX Partially matched orders simply expire!
PSG - SSFs EXPLAINED Standardised contract SAFEX Partially matched orders simply expire! Expire March, June, September and December Including all relevant dividends and interest Go long or Go short Marked to market daily (MTM)
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Underlying Going Long Going Short Closing a position Expiry date
PSG - TERMINOLOGY Underlying Going Long Going Short Closing a position Expiry date Initial margin Variation margin Rolling a position
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Highly capital efficient Low brokerage Very liquid Earn interest
PSG - BENEFITS Highly capital efficient Low brokerage Very liquid Earn interest Benefit from Corporate Actions Cheaply diversify risk Hedge your portfolio
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PSG - SSFs OR EQUITIES Joe (Equity / Share Trader) John (SSFsTrader)
Joe is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the coming months. He has R36,500 which she can invest. Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore she buys 100 shares. 3 months later the price has increased by 10% so he sells his shares to make a R3,650 profit. His return on his investment is 10% John is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the oncoming months. Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore he buys a Long Sasol SSF contract (JUN12 SOLQ). The initial margin set by the broker is R4,950 which is paid by the buyer. After 3 months the price has increased by 10% and the investor closes out his position and sells out of the Sasol SSF contract he is holding. His profit is R3,650 His return on his investment is 58%.
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PSG - UNDERSTANDING RISK
Jack is an SSFs Trader Jack is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the coming months. Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore he buys a Long Sasol SSF contract – JUN12 SOLQ at R4 950 initial margin which is paid by the buyer The Brent Crude price decreases by $10 a barrel which negatively impacts on Sasol’s share price, which drops to R335 per share The SSF contract is made up of 100 underlying shares. The margin call for Investor B to continue trading is 100 x R30 (R365 – R335) = R 3000 variation margin which needs to be paid in to keep the investors position open. He has now laid out R 7,950 After a month the share price continues to drop to R300. The investor chooses to close his position and must pay in a further R 3,500 variation margin. His total outlay is R 10,950 but he receives his Initial margin back, so his total loss is R6000 (-121.2%)
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PSG - SSF PRICING Interest payable is determined daily by the market maker in relation to the ruling SAFEX rates. Interest will be paid on cash balances at a rate linked to the JSE Trustees rate.
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14% VAT on opening leg and 14% VAT on closing leg 0.912% total
PSG - SSF COSTS Brokerage on the Central Orderbook is charged at 0.4% (excl VAT) of the value of the transaction. 14% VAT on opening leg and 14% VAT on closing leg 0.912% total A booking fee of R60
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Identify the candidate Wait for the breakout
PSG - TRADING STRATEGY Identify the candidate Wait for the breakout Set a reasonable target price (TP) Allow the share to retest Know when your trade has failed Exit at your price target (TP) Be patient Be disciplined
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PSG - IDENTIFY THE CANDIDATE
The more times a share price has touched these areas, the more valid these levels are & the more important they become. The longer these support & resistance levels have been in play, the better the outcome when the share price finally breaks out.
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PSG - ENTRY AND EXIT POINTS
Once prices are set to close above a resistance level, a trader will establish a bullish position. When prices are set to close below a support level, a trader will take on a bearish position. The exit point itself should be set at a critical price level, e.g. Support & Resistance
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PSG - ASCENDING TRIANGLES
TP
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Full day workshop (09h00 – 16h00) Fundamental Analysis & Investing
PSG - MARKETWORX Mentored learning Full day workshop (09h00 – 16h00) Monday, 25 June 2012 Fundamental Analysis & Investing Technical Analysis & Trading Cost: R200
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PSG - SIMULATOR TRADING
Click here Submit your details Login Select your SSFSM account (top right) Reset simulator Select “New Order”
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SSF ACCOUNT REGSITRATION
Click here
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Copper, Gold, Platinum & Silver
SSF Margin Initial margin per contract Top 40 Shares ALSI & ALMI Copper, Gold, Platinum & Silver WTI Crude Oil
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SSF Central Order Book ALSI – Most popular Top 40 Shares
Liquidity, Cheap, Tight Spreads Long & Short
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SSF Order Book – ALSI Trade
2 point spread = R10 x 2 points = R20 Margin = R28 050 Exposure = R Cost R25 per contract R10 per point 100 points move = R1000 Buy Moves 300 points up = 300 points move x R10 = R3 000
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SSF Order Book – ALMI Trade
40 point spread = R1 x 40 points = R40 5 Contracts x R2 805 = R14 025 Margin = R2805 Exposure = R28 050 Cost R55 per contract R1 per point 100 points move = R100 Buy Moves 300 points up = 300 points move x R = R300 x 5 = R1500
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SSF Simulator (SSFSM) Step 1 Select SSFSM Step 3 Click Reset Simulator
Check R
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New Order (ALSI)
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New Order (ALSI Buy) Step 1 Select Direction Step 4 Click Submit Order
Step 2 Enter Contracts Step 3 Enter Price (R) Example 1: Buy (Long) 1 contract @
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Trade History (ALSI Buy)
Select Trade History Margin Movement
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Financial History (ALSI Buy)
Select Financial History Margin & Brokerage R25 Margin = R28 050 Exposure = R Cost R25 per contract R10 per point 100 points move = R1000
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New Order (ALSI Sell) Sell (Long Close) Moves up to 30 389
= 300 points move x R10 = R3 000 Step 1 Select Direction Step 4 Click Submit Order Step 2 Enter Contracts Step 3 Enter Price
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Trades History (ALSI Sell)
Profit or Loss Margin Returned
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Financial History (ALSI Sell)
Select Financial History
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SSF Simulator - Portfolio
Select Portfolio Example 2: Buy Moves down to = 169 points move x R10 = R1 690 loss (Margin Call) Example 3: Sell Moves down to = 300 points move x R10 = R3 000
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New Order (Remgro Buy) Step 1 Select Direction Step 4 Click Submit
Step 2 Enter Contracts Step 3 Enter Price (R)
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Trade History (REM Buy)
Select Trade History Margin Movement Margin = R2 122 5 Contracts 5 x R2 122 = R10 610 Exposure = 5 x 100 x R = R65 750
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Financial History (REM Buy)
Select Financial History Margin & Brokerage R309.03 Brokerage = Exposure R x 0.47% (VAT incl) = R309.03
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SSF Simulator - Portfolio
Select Portfolio Exposure 5 x 100 x R = R65 750
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New Order (Remgro Sell)
Step 1 Select Direction Step 4 Click Submit Order Step 2 Enter Contracts Step 3 Enter Price (R)
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Trade History (REM Sell)
Select Trade History Profit or Loss Margin Returned Sell (Close) REMJUN12 contract @ R142.00 Exposure = 5 x 100 x R = R71 000
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Financial History (REM Sell)
Select Financial History Brokerage & Profit Brokerage = R x 0.47% (VAT incl.) = R Profit = R – R65 750 = R5 250
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Educational enquiries
SUPPORT General enquiries 0860 PSG PSG ( ) Trading assistance Lawrence Marshall Educational enquiries
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Click on the relevant icon
SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS Click on the relevant icon facebook twitter YouTube
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Thank You shaunvdb@psgonline.co.za 011 996 5200
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