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AeroCom Phase 2 Direct Radiative Interaction Status as of 2012-06-11 Most numbers are final, a few submissions may change slightly. Effect on final numbers.

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Presentation on theme: "AeroCom Phase 2 Direct Radiative Interaction Status as of 2012-06-11 Most numbers are final, a few submissions may change slightly. Effect on final numbers."— Presentation transcript:

1 AeroCom Phase 2 Direct Radiative Interaction Status as of 2012-06-11 Most numbers are final, a few submissions may change slightly. Effect on final numbers is thought to be minimal.

2 RF number summary SO4BCFFPOMFFNO3SOABBTotal RFAdjusted total RF Model[W/m2] BCC-0.1390.0493-0.0345-0.0301-0.182-0.330 CAM4-Oslo-0.4810.374-0.03340.071-0.0766-0.225 CAM5.1-0.1760.196-0.0213-0.01210.0353-0.0157-0.121 GEOS_CHEM-0.4930.201-0.0225-0.172-0.486-0.542 GISS-MATRIX-0.3030.187-0.0249-0.0132-0.582 GISS-modelE-0.3170.215-0.0261-0.102-0.0663-0.311 GMI-0.4180.166-0.0574-0.0781-0.0622-0.519-0.562 GOCART-0.4440.181-0.0608-0.0238-0.36-0.508 HadGEM2-0.3070.187-0.0354-0.108-0.0683-0.311-0.354 IMPACT-Umich-0.160.135-0.0277-0.121-0.2120.0737-0.207-0.328 INCA-0.4070.179-0.0468-0.364-0.525 MPIHAM-0.2820.142-0.0144-0.02060.0201-0.151-0.256 NCAR-CAM3-0.4450.147-0.01370.0192-0.292-0.440 OsloCTM2-0.5820.377-0.0848-0.0313-0.0652-0.0179-0.427 SPRINTARS-0.3650.207-0.0226-0.00308-0.141-0.289 Mean-0.3550.196-0.035-0.102-0.077-0.005-0.295-0.387 Median-0.3650.187-0.028-0.105-0.043-0.013-0.311-0.354 Stddev0.1300.0830.0200.0470.0930.0470.1660.138 Notes: "Adjusted" means that the model total RF is adjusted by adding the mean of any components not treated. We're trying to find a better word… GISS-MATRIX NO3 RF under evaluation (currently removed) Total RF is the models own estimate of the total anthropogenic direct aerosol forcing Adjusted total RF is the model total RF plus the median of any components the model doesn't treat

3 Model total RF_ari zonal means

4 Component + total whisker plot NB: Boxes currently show one sigma, whiskers show min/max!

5 Component PDFs

6 RF_ari timeadjusted from (2000-1850) to (2010-1750) Ref: Skeie et al, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 11827-11857, 2011

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