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SPP.org 1
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Draft Business as Usual Plan
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SPP.org 3 Wind - Business as Usual
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SPP.org 4 Wind Requirement Per State Futures 1 & 3 Wind in GW State (in SPP) Existing & Construction WindAdditional WindWind Requirement AR00.20.4 KS12.62.4 LA000.4 MO00.71.1 NE0.41.41.1 NM0.2 OK1.63.63.3 TX121.7 SPP Total4.210.6
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SPP.org Transfers to Meet Requirements 5 6 intra-State Transfers 3 inter-State Transfers
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SPP.org 6 Satisfying the Future’s Requirement The expected wind energy must be achieved while maintaining voltage Each state’s capacity and wind requirement modeled as a source-sink transfer PV analysis Transfer increased until near voltage collapse
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SPP.org 7 Satisfying the Future’s Requirement The expected wind energy must be achieved while maintaining thermal limits Each state’s capacity and wind requirement modeled as a source-sink transfer Limitations to the transfers due to 345 kV contingencies identified Focuses upon regional issues rather than local issues
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SPP.org 8 Issue Areas & Corridors Voltage No major issues encountered, up to expected business-as-usual levels Results in-line with the latest Generation Interconnection Study Thermal 230 & 345 kV in the Texas panhandle 345 kV corridor in mid-Kansas 230 & 345 kV corridor in east Kansas
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SPP.org 9 Satisfying the Future’s Requirement SPP system with NTC projects
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SPP.org 10 Limiting Corridors
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SPP.org 11 Least Cost Planning Approach Installation cost & design simplicity Shortest distances Lowest Cost Existing termination points Only 345 kV and above projects considered Emphasis given to previously studied projects
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SPP.org Least Cost Plan Components Texas panhandle Tolk – Potter Co Potter Co – Stateline East Kansas Jeffrey – Iatan Mid-Kansas Spearville – Wichita Wichita – Rose Hill Oklahoma Stateline – Anadarko 12
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SPP.org 13 Business as Usual Least-Cost Plan
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SPP.org 14 Lease Cost Plan Meets Requirements With proposed projects, limits are eliminated
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SPP.org Balanced PortfolioPriority ProjectsSTEP 345 kV projectsITP20 identified 345 kV lines
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SPP.org Potential projects for further study Texas panhandle Frio Draw – Tolk Tolk – Tuco Tuco – Potter Co. East Kansas Jeffrey – Swissvale Jeffrey – Auburn Mid-Kansas Medicine Lodge – Viola Viola - Wichita Knoll – Summit Spearville – Reno Co. 16
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SPP.org 17 Correlation to State of the Market Flowgates Top 10 flowgates for July 2009 – July 2010 1 Osage Switch - Canyon East (115) ftlo Bushland - Deaf Smith (230) 2 Lake Road – Alabama (161) ftlo Iatan to Stranger Creek (345) 3 Randall County - Palo Duro (115) ftlo Amarillo – Swisher (230) 4 Lone Oak to Sardis (138) ftlo Pittsburg – Valiant 345 5 Shamrock XFR (115/69) ftlo Tuco – Oklaunion (345) 6 El Paso – Farber (138) ftlo Wichita – Woodring (345) 7 Kelly – Seneca (115) ftlo E Manhattan – Concordia (230) 8Gentleman to Redwillow (345) 9 Holcomb – Plymell Switch (115) ftlo Holcomb - Spearville (345) 10 Mansfield – Int. Paper (138) ftlo Dolet Hills – Swisher (345) 1 & 3 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
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SPP.org 18 Seams Integration Expectation of thermal limitations in other futures’ least cost designs Nebraska – Iowa border near Omaha Kansas City area Ft. Smith area East Texas
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SPP.org 19 Stakeholder Feedback Comments regarding study approach Alternative project suggestions Areas for development
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SPP.org 20 Futures 2 - 4 Staff will begin development of least-cost plans for these three futures Same process as business as usual case
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SPP.org 21 Timeline for Futures 2 - 4 August 2010 Least-cost plans for futures September 2010 Single, flexible plan for all futures Cost-effective transmission analysis October 2010 Robustness evaluation Limited reliability assessment
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Ben Roubique Lead Engineer, Technical Studies & Modeling 501-614-3331 broubique@spp.org broubique@spp.org
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