2. Comparison of Scenarios
Current management vs
Drafted bill with re-zoning
Expanded wilderness zone 2

3. Key differences in impacts
There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible
Current management not achieving biological or economic potential
Re-zoning and built development has costs that reduce its benefits:
new ski tourism at expense of lost nature-tourism
climate change and obligation to compensate for biodiversity damage could affect its profitability
Expanded wilderness zone allows development of nature tourism 3

4. Location and Distribution of Impacts I
Re-zoning and development benefits:
outside investors
foresters mainly from outside region
temporary construction activity
seasonal employees in skiing.
Some positive impacts will arise locally, but so will negative impacts of damage to nature-tourism 4

5. Location and Distribution of Impacts II
Wilderness expansion: emphasis on range of small-scale local services
Greater proportion of economic benefit stays within local area
Different visitor opportunities at different times of year 5

6. Potential in Nature-tourism Market
Nature-tourism market is large, growing, competitive
Eco-tourism predicted to expand to 25% of global tourism market by 2020 (from 6% in 2010)
Sumava’s Wilderness is a unique selling point (USP)
nature and economic objectives can align around an expanded wilderness area and expanded tourism activity based on it
Sumava’s wilderness is attracting increasing numbers of visitors: access points to current wilderness areas are "full" in NP.
Increasing visitor access in existing area could damage the USP
Increase visitor access requires enlarged wilderness area 6

7. Thank you!
20th January 2014