1. Jeannie Wu, Planner Sep.5 2012

2.  Background  Model Review  Model Function  Model Structure  Transportation System  Model Interface  Model Output  GIS Display

3. New Taipei City (29) Taipei (12) Guishan Town(1) Study Area -- Taipei Urban  County: Taipei、NewTaipei & Gishan Town  Town：42  Area：2398.45 KM 2  Population：6.71million people 3

4.  Taipei Mass Rapid Transit System(refers to Taipei MRT)  the First & the Largest MRT System in Taiwan  108 Station  Legth:116.8km

5. 198119871994 TRTS-I TRTS-II TRTS-III TRTS-IV DOTS-I DOTS-II 19972001year Update Data Upgrade software and display system 5  TRTSI, II  Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model  Software: Transport(Highway) & Tranplan(PT)  TRTS III  Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model  Software: Transport & Tranplan  Main for passenger transportation system, for the MRT planning  DOTS-I,II  Base on TRTS III,Data Update  Software: Transport & Tranplan, Access 97 (DOTS-II Database), ArcView(for GIS Display) 2011~2012

6. 6 Combined with GIS & Database Transit DataBase,GIS Display Extension Interface Economic benefits、Energy consumption Provide meso and micro analysis software integration interface Small regional network analysis, intersection signal, centriod line Long-term transport planning Transportation Demand Analysis, Policy evaluation Friendly User Interface Development of the Windows operating interface, enhance friendly User Interface Model Function

7.  Four Main Model  Socio-Economic Prediction model─estimated future year Socio-Economic Data  Supply Model-Compute the Initial skim and parameter for Demand Model  Demand Model-the main model of TRTS IV, with four transportation planning step. ▪ Sub-Demand Model – AM/PM/Non-Peak Analysis ▪ Peak Sperading Model- AM/PMPeak Hour Analysis ▪ Daily Demand Model- Sum of All Sub-Demand Model  Evaluation Parameter Model- compute some economic paramter like VTT, VKT 1 2 3 4 7

8. Trip Generation Trip Distribution Mode Choice Trip Assignment Four Step Model with feedback Production : category analysis Attraction : regression analysis Gravity Model Impedance Function：Gamma Function Multinomial Logit Model Nested Logit Model (Private & PT) HW:Multi-Modal Equilibrium Assignment Model PT: Best-Path 8 OutBound & Cargo Trips/PCU Convergence Check Modal Share, Average Trip Length Two-iteration Average GC Cost Two-iteration Average Mode Skim

9. Node:11398 Link: 29134 Traffic Analysis Zones: Internal ： 571 zones External ： 30Zones Total number of zones ： 601zones Analytical Highway Modes Motorcycle Car Taxi Bus(PCU) Truck Tourbus 9

10. Base year-2009 87 MRTStatioins Legth:91.8km Year: 2012 108 MRTStatioins Legth:116.8km Year: 2015 160 MRTStatioins Legth:195.2km Year: 2021 215 MRTStatioins Legth:238.2km Year: 2031 266 MRTStatioins Legth:296km OtherMode: 40 RailStation 652 Busline(city bus & Long-distance bus)

11. SociaEconomic Prediction Model Supply Model Demand Model Evaluation Model Main WindowDemand Model-2 Trip Distribution Mode Choice Outbound l Cargo Matrix trasfer Traffic Assigment Converg ence test Demand Model AMPeak Trip Generation PMPeak NonPeak AMPeakHourPMPeakHour

12. Scenario 1 (S1) ─ Base Situation Analysis Year ─ 2009 (Y98), 2012(Y101), 2015(Y104), 2021(Y110), 025(Y114), 2030(Y119), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130) Scenario 2 (S2) ─ Intergrated Fare Analysis Year ─2021(Y110), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130) Scenario 3 (S3) ─ Private Cost addition Analysis Year ─2021(Y110), 2031(Y120), 2041(Y130)

13. Data window MDB window

14.  Estimate benefit of MRT Construction  MRT Scheduling  MRT Route Planning  Bus Route Modification  Estimate benefit of Highway Construction  New Road construction  Increase car lane  Evaluate the policy  Parking fee Inceasment  Output items  travel demand (trips)  trip lengths  Modal shares  travel speeds (Vehicle Kilometers traveled (VKMT)/Vehicle hours traveled (VHT))  Link Traffic Flow  Peak& PeakHour MRT flow(by line)

15. Traffic flow Bandwidth V/C Ratio Isochrome Analysis Speed

16. ON/OFF Anlysis Passenger flow Bandwidth

17. 22.1%32.2% 22.5% 24.7%28.2%29.5%31.1% PT:Bus+Rail

18. 28.2%27.5% (-0.7%) PT:Bus+Rail 29.0% (+0.8%) 31.1%30.4% (-0.7%) 32.8% (+1.7%) 32.2%31.7% (-0.5%) 35.5% (+3.3%) 2021 2031 2041 (S2) Integrated fare will reduce the PT mode share (S3) Private Cost addition will increase the PT mode share

23. The End~ Thanks for attending E-mail: cycleviki@ms1.thi.com.tw