1. Interventions for Vulnerable Youth (IVY) Formulation in Risk Assessment – Principles and Practice DR LEANNE GREGORY Clinical Psychologist and Project Manager HEATHER IRVING Consultant Social Worker (RMA) CYCJ Annual Conference, Dundee, 2014

2. Outline  Youth violence risk assessment, the context  Case study outline  Formulation within risk assessment  Formulation – definitions  Formulation – Principles  The 4 Ps model  Formulation – process  Formulation – outputs – group task and case example  Discussion and reflections

3. Youth Violence – the context  The health, psychological, social, and financial burdens of crime – and violence in particular - are well established.  Young people are most likely to be the victim of youth crime, however, victims can include peers, parents, siblings, strangers, professionals, intimate partners and vulnerable others.  Youth homicides account for 41% of the formal figures and homicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents (World Health Organisation, 2011).  can include serious and life threatening interpersonal violence, fire- setting/arson, theft, vandalism and various behaviours considered to be antisocial. Indeed, adolescents account for a disproportionate amount of perpetrated rapes and child abuse (Radford et al, 2011; Vizard et al, 2007).  In order to intervene with this population, it is essential to assess and understand the nature of the risk posed and the factors that contributed to the onset, development and maintenance of the problems. Contemporary practice guidelines advocate the use of formalised risk assessment approaches.

4. Risk Assessment Process IdentificationAnalysisEvaluationCommunication Framework for Risk Assessment Management and Evaluation (FRAME) http://www.rmascotland.gov.uk/standardsandguidelines/

5. Case Study

6. Case Study: Jamie Jamie 17 years old Currently living in the community Subject to compulsory supervision order Referred by social work following anxiety about his sexually harmful behaviour 17 years old Currently living in the community Subject to compulsory supervision order Referred by social work following anxiety about his sexually harmful behaviour

7. Case Study: Background Family LifeEducation Social History/Peer Association Mental Health Substance Misuse LAAC History

8. Case Study: Background Sexual Behaviour Age 11: Staff find kitchen implements in Jamie’s bedroom – suspected use for sexual purposes Age 11: Allegations of sodomy against an 9 year old boy in residential care. Age 13: Concerns of inappropriate sexual contact with his 4 year old cousin Age 15: Two claims of alleged rape against his then girlfriend who was deemed to be vulnerable to exploitation Currently: Relationships with a range of young women some of whom are known to be vulnerable Violent/Aggressive Behaviour Violent behaviour reported at home and school from a young age Threats and actual violence towards staff in residential care, both male and female Fellow residents reported to be “petrified of him” Possession of weapons in both residential and community settings Victim and perpetrator of domestic violence in relationship with former partner Anger is targeted at individuals (usually staff) although he can remain calm with others who are present. Displays disproportionate responses to minor or inconsequential events

9. Case Study: Current Presentation Avoidant of and aggressive towards staff Disengaging from support and supervisionWhereabouts is frequently unknownConcern about peer associations/relationships Chaotic with poor self care

10. Formulation: Definitions “…a process by which a set of hypotheses is generated about the etiology and factors that perpetuate a patient’s presenting problems and translates the diagnosis into specific, individualized treatment interventions.” ( Winters et al, 2007 ). “…Case formulation generally refers to an integrative process that synthesizes how one understands the complex, interacting factors implicated in development of a patient’s presenting problems. It is explicitly comprehensive and takes into account the child and family’s strengths and capacities that may help to identify potentially effective treatment approaches. The case formulation serves as a testable explanatory model that gives rise to ideas for intervention and eliminates some options that do not fit the model….” ( Winters et al 2007 )

11. Definitions “Formulation is the preparation of an evidence-based explanation of a person’s difficulties – their form, their origins, and their development and maintenance over time (Johnstone & Dallos, 2006; Tarrier, 2007).

12. Benefits of formulation  Where theory and empirical knowledge merge with the understanding of an individual/family/system  Allow us to understand why a difficulty exists rather than simply describing a set of symptoms/problems  Fills the gap between describing and intervening  Guides intervention  Individually sensitive and specific  Allows us to understand complexity/comorbidity

13. Principles (Hart et al, 2011) Inferential

14. Principles Action Oriented

15. Principles Theory Driven

16. Principles Individualised

17. Principles Narrative

18. Principles Diachronic

19. Principles Testable

20. Principles Ampliative

21. Formulation: 4 P’s Approach  predisposing (i.e., factors in the individual’s past that may increase his proclivity or vulnerability to violence)  precipitating (i.e., events or circumstances that may trigger the behaviour or disinhibit usual behavioural controls); (motivators, disinhibitors)  perpetuating (i.e., factors that cause the risk to remain) (impeders, unresolved vulnerabilities)  protective factors (i.e., aspects of the offender’s functioning or circumstances that moderate the risk)

22. Formulation – Process ProblemInformationHypothesesIntervention Communicati on Identify the problem, can be complex. Collect a range of information across time points and informants/ sources. Comprehensive. Make sense of the relationship between the 4 Ps. Make into a narrative and shared, sensible, formulation. Formulation will point to appropriate treatment targets and facilitate planning interventions. Communicate, share and discuss formulation so that approach is coordinated.

23. Formulation:Exercise Formulation Exercise

24. Formulation: Communication  A story not a sum…  Consider the reader and use clear and meaningful terminology  Convey the key facts of the case  Provide a structure or plot to your story  Beginning, middle, end  Pattern, nature, seriousness, likelihood, imminence  Who, what, when, where, why, how  Theoretical framework

25. Reflections and Discussion