1. The State of Ohio’s Ninth Graders Will they be in this picture? Ninth Grade Make-It or Break-It Year Retreat March 31, 2006 Presented by Kathy Shibley, Ph.D. Director, Office of Career-Technical and Adult Education Ohio Department of Education

2. Charge: Help Ohio’s education policy leaders rethink the rules, roles and relationships that define high school by focusing on: –Personalized education –Middle to high school transition –High School to college transition –Aligning Ohio’s P-16 system

3. Source: Ohio Department of Education, State Board of Education’s Task Force on Quality High Schools for a Lifetime of Opportunities (Estimated using 2003-2004 data) Too many students leave school before they graduate.

4. “It’s not just about graduation. It’s about preparation.” Governor Bob Taft, State of the State, January 25, 2006

5. Source: Manhattan Institute, Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates: 1991-2002, February 2005, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ewp_08.htm Percentage of College-Ready High School Graduates, 2002 Too few students are college-ready when they graduate.

6. The Task Force’s Goal: Improve and sustain the academic achievement of all Ohio high school students, ensuring that they acquire the knowledge and skills they will need to succeed in postsecondary education, careers and citizenship.

7. Education Continuum Pre-K Elementary Grades Middle Grades High School Higher Education and Workforce

8. Pre-K Elementary Grades Middle Grades High School Higher Education and Workforce Five Pressure Points Middle School Transitions Grades 9-10 Ohio Graduation Tests Grades 11-12 Post- secondary Transitions

9. Problem: Not enough students leave middle school prepared for high school Pressure Point #1: Middle school transitions

10. Students Unprepared for High School Source: Ohio Department of Education, Local Report Card data, 2004-2005 Percentage of Students Proficient or Above on Middle School Tests, 2004-2005

11. 7 th Grade Mathematics Results by District Type, 2004-2005 Source: Ohio Department of Education, State Board discussion on Local Report Card and Condition of Education 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Comm Schools Major Urban Other Rural Hi Poverty Rural / Small Town Suburb

12. Source: Ohio Department of Education, State Board discussion on Local Report Card and Condition of Education. 8 th Grade Reading Results by District Type, 2004-2005

13. Middle School Transitions Goal: Encourage more rigor, relevance and relationship building

14. Problem: Not enough students engaged and progressing through system Pressure Point #2: Grades 9-10

15. 9 th Grade “Bubble” State Enrollment (June head count) by Grade, 2004-2005 Source: Ohio Department of Education

16. Number of Students Retained by Grade Level, 2004-2005

17. Retention in Grades 9-12 2004-2005 School Year Ohio high school students retained 20,446 Approximate cost per student $9,000 $184 million

18. Grades 9-10 Goal: Facilitate Timely Student Success and Progress

19. Problem: Not enough students meet OGT standards in a timely fashion Pressure Point #3: Ohio Graduation Tests

20. Ohio Graduation Tests Source: Ohio Department of Education, Local Report Card data, 2004-2005

21. Ohio Graduation Tests Goal: Focus on Timely Successful Completion of the OGT

22. Problem: Not enough students participate in rigorous curriculum Pressure Point #4: Grades 11-12

23. ACT Composite Scores Source: ACT: Crisis at the Core, 2005 16.3 21.5 20.1 18.3 18.7 17.8 23.6 22.7 21.321.2 0.0 6.0 12.0 18.0 24.0 30.0 36.0 African American Asian American CaucasianHispanic American Native American Average ACT Composite Score Non-CoreCore Ohio ACT Composite Scores for 2004 High School Graduates by Core Status and Race/Ethnicity

24. Advanced Placement Source: College Board

25. Advanced Placement Source: College Board

26. High School Graduates Unprepared Source: The Performance Report for Ohio’s Colleges and Universities, 2005, Ohio Board of Regents, www.regents.state.oh.us/perfrpt/2005HSindex.html Too many college freshmen need remedial coursework

27. Few Employers Feel High School Graduates Are Prepared Applicants with no high school degree Recent public high school grads who have no further education/training Recent grads of two-year college or training program Recent graduates of four- year colleges Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Opinion Strategies, Rising to the Challenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work? Prepared for Achieve, Inc., 2005 High School Graduates Unprepared

28. Grades 11-12 Goal: Rigorous Preparation

29. Problem: Not enough students graduate from high school prepared for postsecondary education and work Pressure Point #5: Postsecondary Transitions

30. Ohio Above National Average in High School Graduates Source: U.S. Census data, 2004

31. Ohio Below National Average in College Graduates Source: U.S. Census data, 2004

32. How Does Ohio Stack Up? Source: National Center for Public Policy & Higher Education, Policy Alert, April 2004. Data are estimates of pipeline progress rather than actual cohort

33. College Graduates Earn More than High School Graduates Source: U.S. Census data, 2004

34. Poverty Rate For Adults 25+ Source: U.S. Census data, 2004

35. Postsecondary Transitions Goal: Seamless Transition

36. Class of 2009 Where have all the ninth graders gone?