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Tom Kavanagh kavanaghfennell 25th September 2013 CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING SUMMIT
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Trends & Developments Large Property Sales IBRC Debt Restructuring Personal Insolvency Outlook for the next 12 months Contents
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Predicted 2013 total: 1,300+2012 overall total: 1,684 *statistics do not include personal asset receivership www.insolvencyjournal.ie Year on year decrease of 14% Year on year decrease of 20%
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Receiverships – Differing strategies Examinership – B&Q, Pamela Scott, Sunday Business Post, Barna Waste IBRC Liquidation Portfolio Sales – Aspen, River, IBRC, Ulysses, Arc, O’Flynn Servicing Contracts – Certus, Capita, Pepper PE firms, REITs + QIFs Spike in Fixed Asset enforcement Charles Allen ‘Trust’ Trends & Developments
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Treasury Portfolio - €306m Clancy Quay- €82m Vet College- €22m Gemini Portfolio- €65m Bishops Square- €65m River Island Building - €40m La Touche House- €35m 4 Apartment Blocks- Capreit - €42m Marker, Ritz Carlton, Burlington, Trinity Plaza Large Property Sales
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Debtor purchase, PE firms or NAMA Valuation is the key Debtors – No certainty on banking counterparty Further uncertainty for trading businesses INBS book - NAMA? IBRC
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Borrower Perspective Private Equity Exiting Banks Pillar Banks Loan Service Providers Debt Collection Agencies Bank’s Perspective Long-term market participants Capital Efficiency Restructure is easier on balance sheet Future interest income Debt Restructuring
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The Return of Capital Dublin awash with hungry money Provides Banks with option of taking market Exiting Banks / Bad Bank run offs / NAMA Vendor appetite for portfolio sales Models Senior Debt profile structured around free cashflow Residual debt: Stretch and forgive, equity fee notes, zero coupon parking Margin debate (higher senior debt v interest rate return) i.e. €5m @ 4% margin = €5.73m @ 2%
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Debt Restructuring Issues and Obstacles Family Homes Documentation and Fulfilment Provisioning inadequacy Borrower fatigue Contagion fear
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Personal Insolvency Insolvency Service of Ireland Formal Arrangements - Banks not favourable? Borrowers left with Hobson’s choice Consensual restructuring or Bankruptcy Exception – multi banked borrowers
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Higher volume of asset sales Portfolio Sales to pick up IBRC outcome Restructuring – real progress Surge in Fixed Asset enforcement Examinership ‘Light’ Personal Insolvency – fall out Sentiment – inching forward Outlook For Next 12 Months
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