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Trends of Pork Consumption: Where Are We Going? Brett Stuart Cartagena July 16
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Outline Global Protein Demand & Supply Global Opportunities
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GLOBAL DEMAND & SUPPLY
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Global Demand More mouths….. (375 million – past 5 yrs) With more $….. (US$4.1 trillion – past 5 yrs)
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Source: USDA/FAS Global Meat and Broiler Production
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Source: GTIS, AgriTrends
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Source: UN/FAO
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Source: USDA/FAS, 2014F, beef and pork in carcass-weight equivalents
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Global Opportunities
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Source: Various market reports, AgriTrends
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Source: USDA/FAS, beef and pork in carc. wt. equiv. 2014 Imports = 2% of Chinese consumption Million Metric Tons
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Source: China MOA, AgriTrends
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Chinese Meat + Poultry Consumption Forecasts in Red
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Chinese Corn For Feed Forecasts in Yellow
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Source: Japan ALIC
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Source: USDA, AgriTrends
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Source: GTIS, Global AgriTrends
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Opportunities - Summary Colombia can participate in global pork markets 2013: – 102 countries purchased imported pork – Lowest import prices COL 1,182 COL Pesos/kg – Highest import price COL 28,507 COL Pesos/kg
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Opportunities - Summary Colombia can participate in global pork markets – Identify best potential markets (economics and sanitary requirements) – Assess pork-cut prices and opportunities – Work on gov’t-to-gov’t access (certificates/licenses) – Be willing to meet importer specifications
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Gracias -
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