1. Pathogens in Urban Stormwater Systems Presented by: Jane Clary and Candice Owens, P.E. Wright Water Engineers, Inc. Project Sponsors: Pathogens in Wet Weather Flows Technical Committee, ASCE Environmental and Water Resources Institute Urban Drainage and Flood Control District Urban Watersheds Research Institute

2. Overview 1.Basic regulatory background 2.Sources of FIB in urban areas 3.Predicting fate and transport 4.Monitoring and source tracking 5.Statistical analysis 6.Source controls 7.Structural controls 8.TMDL case studies 9.Research needs 10.And 40 pages of references

3. The Problem Top 10 Causes of Impairment in U.S. by # of 303(d) Listings Source: EPA http://iaspub.epa.gov/waters10/attains_nation_cy.control?p_report_type=T#tmdl_by_pollutant Accessed May 2012, Most strains of E. coli and enterococci do not cause human illness (that is, they are not human pathogens); rather, they indicate the presence of fecal contamination. Many of these listings are not due to sewage (untreated, CSO, or SSO).

4. EPA’s 2012 Recreational Water Quality Criteria A few highlights: Removes use intensity considerations at beaches. No national-level exclusion for natural sources. Tools for developing alternative RWQC on a site-specific basis (e.g., QMRA). Tools for assessing and managing recreational waters, such as predictive modeling and sanitary surveys. New rapid method for enterococci using qPCR method (helpful for beaches). Frequency of Exceedances: 0 for geomean & < 10% for STV Duration: 30- day assessment period

5. Health Risk from Different Fecal Sources (EPA 2012 RWQC) “Human pathogens are often present in animal fecal matter, and thus, there are risks associated with recreating in animal-impacted waters.” “..quantifying that level of risk associated with animal fecal material is difficult, and the methods necessary to distinguish between human and nonhuman fecal sources, with the appropriate level of confidence, are still under development.” “EPA is not developing recommendations that take source of fecal contamination into account.” “…human health risk associated with exposure to waters impacted by animal sources can vary substantially. In some cases these risks can be similar to exposure to human fecal contamination, and in other cases, the risk is substantially lower.” “…states interested in adopting different standards to address the variability in human health risks associated with different sources of fecal contamination on a site-specific basis should refer to methods for developing site-specific standards [in the new criteria].

6. QMRA Basics (Soller et al. 2010)

7. Implications for Urban Areas Stormwater Managers/MS4s MS4 permit holders must address issue due to TMDLs FIB elevated in urban runoff Storm sewer system can be a source during dry weather, too

8. Bacteria in Urban Runoff (Research by Pitt, Maestre and Wilson) Ubiquitously high— regardless of land use Absence of first- flush effect Look for new analyses from NSQD

9. Dry Weather Urban Runoff: Enterococci for Residential and Commercial Land Uses in San Diego County (Source: Weston 2009a)

10. Direct Sources

11. Secondary/Environmental Sources Biofilms – Instream – In storm sewers Sediment Decaying plants/organic matter Soils

12. Source Identification Traditional FIB analysis Other source fingerprinting techniques Advance molecular methods Based on Recommendations in Griffith et al. 2013

13. Why is Modeling Bacteria so Difficult? Biotic and abiotic factors affect survival Sediment resuspension Source: Olivieri et al., in WERF 2007

14. Statistical Analysis: Games with E. coli Data

15. Briefly… Tools to Reduce Bacteria in Runoff & MS4s IDDE (Identify/Remove Illicit Discharges Infrastructure Repairs Other Source Controls (pets, urban wildlife, dumpsters,) Structural BMPs Active Treatment: Disinfection

16. Dry Weather Screening at MS4 Outfalls

17. Address Sanitary Sources First

18. But Instream Issues May Remain

19. International Stormwater BMP Database www.bmpdatabase.org Statistical analysis updated April 2012 – Includes new statistical characterizations – Hypothesis testing FIB data set has grown – E. coli – Fecal coliform – Enterococcus Still important to caveat findings based on # studies & # events

20. BMP Performance: E. coli End of pipe limits are unlikely to be consistently met. Volume reduction can help to reduce loads.

21. General Conclusions Related to BMP Performance Data set remains limited for most BMP category-FIB combinations. Results to date do not support consistent attainment of numeric effluent limits for FIB in stormwater at end of pipe. Retention (wet) ponds and media filters appear to provide best performance on a density/concentration basis. Bioretention and other infiltration-oriented practices can reduce bacteria loads by reducing frequency and volume of runoff. Disinfection works at point of outfall, but not realistic in many contexts. Some BMP types appear to export bacteria.

22. Nebraska Case Study: Cost Estimates for E. coli TMDL 7.7 sq. mi. Antelope Creek Watershed, Lincoln Source load estimates by land use & BMP evaluation using WinSLAMM Curb-cut bioretention retrofits identified as a key BMP Est. Cost: $57 million over 40- year plan ($7.4M/sq. mi.) City will start w/ source controls and pilot projects using 5-year plans

23. San Diego River, California Comprehensive Load Reduction Plan

24. Estimated TMDL Implementation Plan Costs for the Ballona River TMDL (Source: City of Beverly Hills et al. 2009)

25. New and Improved Source Identification Tools Candice Owen, P.E.

26. Source Tracking - Bacteroidales Using a Bacteria Source Tracking “Toolkit” Anaerobic enteric bacteria – Limited persistence – Limited re-growth Highly abundant in intestines/feces Genetic differences specific to host Use qPCR to quantify… results in in gene copies/100 mL

27. Advanced Methods in Source Tracking Microbial Source Tracking methods Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA)

28. Source Tracking Flow Chart Courtesy Brandon Steets, Geosyntec Consultants In Pathogens in Urban Stormwater Systems

29. What questions can microbial source tracking answer? Use a “weight of evidence” approach to answers the following questions: Which human or non-human sources are most prevalent stormwater discharges? What outfalls display the highest levels of these sources? How can these conclusions aid in the implementation of more effective bacteria BMPs? Which areas drain to the most “problematic” stormwater outfalls?

30. MST Example: Horse Race Track Blamed gulls for bacteria issues 3 wet weather events Used “weight of evidence” Determined sources were primarily equine

31. QMRA QMRA – Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment Multi-step approach that couples risk assessment principles with statistical computations to estimate consequences of possible exposure to infectious organisms Watershed-specific data is input Monte Carlo statistical modeling approach to account for variability

32. QMRA Flow Chart Step 3 Exposure Step 1 Context Step 2 Hazards Step 4 Health Effects Step 5 RISK SPIN! Step 6 Policy

33. What questions can QMRA answer? What pathogens are useful to monitor in stormwater and natural runoff? What pathogens are most prevalent and likely to cause illness? What are the risks to people recreating in the study waters? How can we mitigate risk?

34. Example: 2011 WERF QMRA Study 3 regions of the US 7 discharges of concern Toolkit of bacteria, viruses and protozoa Risks highest for Norovirus and rotavirus. Highest in agricultural and CSO samples. Risk was highest for children.

35. In Closing, We Still Need: A national policy-level dialogue regarding regulatory options that are protective of human health, while recognizing practical economic constraints facing local governments: a. What level of control for FIB is practical and attainable, and reflects “acceptable” levels of public health protection based on actual pathogenicity and exposure? b. How can measurable water quality compliance metrics (e.g., for TMDLs, MS4 permits) be expressed so that practical constraints are recognized, while still promoting meaningful water quality improvement?

36. Download Report Here: : http://collaborate.ewrinstitute.org/home Jane Clary, Wright Water Engineers clary@wrightwater.com Candice Owen, P.E., Wright Water Engineers cowen@wrightwater.com