1. Assessing the Impact and the Challenge of New Technologies Richard Perlman perl@lucent.com Lucent Technologies Bell Labs Innovations

2. A few starting thoughts In a world in which ideas are becoming increasingly dangerous we are in the perhaps unenviable role of spreading danger In a part of the world where so many have relatively little it seems the willingness to give is paradoxically increased I am honored to be allowed to support you in you work and efforts

3. A Model For Invention Desire / MotivationProblems / Opposition New Ideas

4. A Model For Invention Global CooperationBandwidth Limitations NewLink

5. A Model For Invention Review TechnologyHigh Cost of Fiber SILK

6. List Positive Motivating Factors –Faster transfer rates for large datasets –Move up to 5 to 10 mbs –Community services –Provide connectivity to k12 –Speed for distance learning (real media) Problems –Last mile -> wireless –High cost of infrastructure (monopolies) –Uncooperative management -> creative hr –Human resources

7. List Negative Motivating Factors Prestige of having faster connection that nearby country/institution

8. Hopes and Expectations A wise person knows his/her hopes and expectations and can tell the difference between the two.

9. What Did you Expect? Based on past projects, and initiatives, think about what you expected and what you actually ended up with. Did you always get what you wanted? What were the unintended results? Were they better, or worse than you had hoped?

10. Wisdom … grant me the Courage to change the things I can, the Serenity to accept the things I Cannot change, and the Wisdom to know the difference…

11. Wisdom As you think about your network, what are some of the things you can change… 1)

12. Wisdom And, what are some of the things you cannot change… 1)

13. Think about your network A model for realizing your potential How large can you think before you are lost in the noise? What is the smallest element you can consider? What do you need to survive? What must you deliver to your customers? What makes you unique?

14. Think about your network Make sure that you are adding value and not just cost. Find your niche. –If you are going to re-invent the wheel, invent a better one. –Tackle the problems nobody else is interested in.

15. Think about your network For every thing there is a time and a purpose. –The trick is knowing what it is the right time for now.

16. Think about your network You gotta know when to hold ‘em and know when to fold ‘em. (The Gambler – Kenny Rogers)

17. Think about your network Be careful what you outlaw, forbid, prohibit, proscribe, disable and stop. It may have been your future. –Do we really know what is happening? –What is the difference between Napster and new advances in distributed computing?

18. Think about your people It is easier to channel a motivated person than to motivate an uninterested person. Look for loyalty in direction an diversity in means. Creativity requires space for failure.

19. Think about your people Come mothers and fathers throughout the land And don't criticize what you don't understand Your sons and your daughters are beyond your command Your old road is rapidly agin' Please get out of the new one if you can't lend a hand For the times they are a-changin'. (The Times They Are A Changin’ - Bob Dylan)

20. Think about time Perlman’s Quandry: –Why is there never enough time to do it right… –…But, there is always enough time to do it again?

21. Think about time Where have you been, where did you come from? Where and what are you? Where and what do you want to be in one week, one month, one year… ?

22. Think about direction VS.

23. Think about direction But, don’t become a dinosaur! Be prepared to change if circumstances dictate.

24. Think about direction A solid foundation A clear goal Good management A good plan

25. Think about health Development Exploration and development of new ideas and processes Expansion Continually growth and adaptation Interaction Exploration and development of new ideas and processes Management A renewable, reliable supply of resources Identity Know who you are and what you exist for Concentration Remove waste and inefficiencies Internal External

26. Think about a coffee break But not yet… We still have Pavel Horvath Elchin Aliyev Sirodjiddin Nabiev Yuriy Yakymenko & Volodymyr Tymofieiev